Red Sox at Cubs

Updated
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
55.3%44.7%
Red Sox WinCubs Win
4.64Projected Runs 4.08
1Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6
Rank19
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank7
R/G5.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Josh Winckowski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-13.61.45

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsBOS: Rich Hill • CHC: Adrian Sampson-134
W 6-5 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Alek Manoah+153
L 5-6 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Michael Wacha • TOR: Ross Stripling+125
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Connor Seabold • TOR: Kevin Gausman+168
W 8-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Rich Hill • CLE: Aaron Civale-107
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • CHC: Adrian Sampson+135
W 7-15 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-125
W 3-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-132
L 5-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Keegan Thompson-112
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsCHC: Alec Mills • STL: Jack Flaherty+160

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFEnrique Hernandez10-day IL
  • CChristian VazquezRest
  • 2BChristian ArroyoRest
  • 1BBobby DalbecRest
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • PRich HillQuestionable

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PDaniel NorrisUnknown
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PWade MileyUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°77°76°74°
Humidity47%47%49%53%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 7 mphSE 6 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 5 mph
Vic Carapazza
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-120-164-138-140-138-138-138-138.0
Cubs+110+138+128+130+128+128+138+138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-140-144-141-157-159-142-141-138.0
Cubs+118+134+129+132+146+132+146+138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -134 to -140
Cubs ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -150 to -157
Cubs ML moved from +130 to +122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+100-1½+105-1½+107-1½+105-1½+107-1½+107-1½+107-1½+114
Cubs+1½-120+1½-125+1½-127+1½-125+1½-127+1½-127+1½-125+1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+105-1½+105-1½+115-1½+105-1½-105-1½+110-1½+115-1½+114
Cubs+1½-123+1½-125+1½-133+1½-125+1½-115+1½-130+1½-115+1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9½+100o9½+105o9½+105o9½+105o9½+105o9½+105o9½+114
Underu10-115u9½-120u9½-125u9½-125u9½-125u9½-125u9½-120u9½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9½-105o9½+105o9½+110o9½-105o9½+105o9½+110o9½+114
Underu10-115u9½-115u9½-125u9½-130u9½-115u9½-125u9½-115u9½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u10-115 to u9½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9½-125