Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
45.9%54.1%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.56Projected Runs 3.99
4Final Score 2
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank21
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank22
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Josh Winckowski (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-13.681.5

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
133-33.01.167

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 6-3 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Nick Pivetta • CLE: Cal Quantrill-112
W 2-6 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • BOS: Michael Wacha-132
W 4-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Beau Brieske • BOS: Rich Hill-184
W 2-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Alex Faedo • BOS: Josh Winckowski-178
W 4-6 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Andre Pallante • BOS: Nick Pivetta-146
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CLE: Cal Quantrill+106
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+125
W 11-10 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Sonny Gray+138
W 6-5 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Joe Ryan+145
W 5-3 at Los Angeles DodgersCLE: Shane Bieber • LAD: Andrew Heaney+160

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFEnrique Hernandez10-day IL
  • PHansel RoblesUnknown
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • PMatt BarnesUnknown
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • No Reported Injuries
NE 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)80°79°81°82°
Humidity51%54%50%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 6 mphNE 5 mphENE 4 mphSSE 4 mph
Jeremie Rehak
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+125+136+147+146+147+147+147+149.4
Guardians-135-162-159-156-159-159-156-149.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+135+145+139+145+143+142+145+149.4
Guardians-145-155-152-155-156-152-152-149.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +133 to +125
Guardians ML moved from -153 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +146 to +139
Guardians ML moved from -153 to -160

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-165+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-133
Guardians-1½+145-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+133
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-150+1½-145+1½-148+1½-145+1½-140+1½-150+1½-140+1½-133
Guardians-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+120-1½+130-1½+130-1½+133

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-105o8½-107o8½-105o8½-107o8½-107o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8½-115u8½-115u8½-113u8½-115u8½-113u8½-113u8½-113u8½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+104
Underu8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-115u8½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under