Padres at Reds

Updated
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
58.4%41.6%
Padres WinReds Win
4.65Projected Runs 3.76
7Final Score 5
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank11
R/G5.0
RA/G4.6
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-62.220.835

Vladimir Gutierrez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-23.971.324

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cincinnati RedsSDP: Craig Stammen • CIN: Tony Santillan-131
W 4-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • SDP: Yu Darvish-265
L 10-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Merrill Kelly • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-259
W 5-11 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Corbin Martin • SDP: Chris Paddack-310
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Trevor Bauer • SDP: Joe Musgrove-110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Craig Stammen • CIN: Tony Santillan+128
W 4-12 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Spencer Howard • CIN: Wade Miley-155
L 4-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Muller • CIN: Tyler Mahle-136
W 1-4 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Ian Anderson • CIN: Luis Castillo-117
L 3-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Drew Smyly • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-104

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PPierce Johnson10-day IL
  • PBlake Snell10-day IL
  • PDinelson Lamet10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PTejay Antone10-day IL
  • 3BAlex Blandino10-day IL
  • 3BEugenio SuarezRest
  • PSonny Gray10-day IL
  • PLucas Sims10-day IL
  • 2BMax Schrock10-day IL
  • 2BMike Moustakas60-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinUnknown
WSW 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°79°78°
Humidity72%75%78%82%
Precipitation30%29%39%49%
ConditionPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain
WindWSW 4 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 4 mphWSW 3 mph
Nick Mahrley
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-150-194-200-187-187-187-187-
Reds+139+174+170+172+167+172+174-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-148-180-189-190-184-184-180-
Reds+138+165+171+170+167+169+171-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -190 to -210
Reds ML moved from +190 to +175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from -178 to -184
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½+100-1½-125-1½-130-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-
Reds+1½-120+1½+105+1½+110+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-1½-100-1½-115-1½-122-1½-115-1½-125-1½-115-1½-115-
Reds+1½-120+1½-105+1½+104+1½-105+1½+105+1½-105+1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10+105o9½-119o10-105o10-110o10-110o10-110o9½-119-
Underu10-125u9½-101u10-115u10-110u10-110u10-110u10-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-100o10-105o10+100o10-105o10+105o10-105o10+105-
Underu10-120u10-115u10-120u10-115u10-125u10-115u10-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-112 to u10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-115