Orioles at Phillies

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
39.9%60.1%
Orioles WinPhillies Win
4.34Projected Runs 5.39
3Final Score 13
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.9
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Cade Povich (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
122-55.151.5

Jesus Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
229-54.311.372

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 3-5 at Chicago CubsBAL: Cade Povich • CHC: Colin Rea+170
W 4-3 at Chicago CubsBAL: Tomoyuki Sugano • CHC: Matthew Boyd+208
L 0-1 at Chicago CubsBAL: Trevor Rogers • CHC: Cade Horton+140
L 9-8 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Jose Berrios • BAL: Dean Kremer-120
W 2-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Eric Lauer • BAL: Brandon Young+111
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Charlie Morton • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-178
L 7-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tarik Skubal • PHI: Zack Wheeler-110
W 4-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jack Flaherty • PHI: Ranger Suárez-144
L 3-9 at Chicago White SoxPHI: Taijuan Walker • CHW: Tyler Alexander-132
W 6-3 at Chicago White SoxPHI: Jesus Luzardo • CHW: Jonathan Cannon-165

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PZach Eflin15-day IL
  • CGary Sanchez10-day IL
  • RFTyler O'NeillIn Lineup
  • PFelix BautistaOut
  • PColin Selby15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 3BAlec Bohm10-day IL
  • PJoe Ross15-day IL
SSW 6 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°83°81°78°
Humidity48%51%58%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mphS 4 mphS 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+160+169+162+164+174+164+174+170.4
Phillies-195-185-197-182-184-182-182-170.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+173+170+165+180+173+180+180+170.4
Phillies-200-190-185-200-200-200-185-170.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +180 to +174
Phillies ML moved from -187 to -196

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Orioles: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 80.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +178 to +165
Phillies ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-120+1½-118+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-125+1½-118+1½-114
Phillies-1½+100-1½+102-1½+100-1½+105-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-115+1½-120+1½-120+1½-115+1½-115+1½-120+1½-115+1½-114
Phillies-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½-105-1½-105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-113o9-115o9-118o9-120o9-118o9-113o9-107
Underu9-120u9-103u9-105u9-102u9+100u9-102u9+100u9+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o9-120o9-125o9-125o9-120o9-120o9-120o9-107
Underu8½+105u9+100u9+105u9+105u9+100u9+100u9+105u9+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-103 to u9-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-110 to o9-120
No Steam Moves On Under