Nationals at Reds

Updated

Washington Nationals

(10-12)
Rank25
R/G3.7
RA/G4.2
42.5%57.5%
Nationals WinReds Win
4.05Projected Runs 4.84
10Final Score 8

Cincinnati Reds

(13-10)
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3
Rank25
R/G3.7
RA/G4.2
Rank15
R/G5.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Erick Fedde (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
103-44.61.532

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
112-55.531.379

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Mike Minor+120
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+116
L 0-5 at New York MetsWSN: Evan Lee • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+216
L 0-10 at New York MetsWSN: Patrick Corbin • NYM: Trevor Williams+178
L 5-13 at New York MetsWSN: Erick Fedde • NYM: David Peterson+167
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 8-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • CIN: Mike Minor-125
W 1-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joan Adon • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-122
L 1-7 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Hunter Greene • BOS: Garrett Whitlock+190
W 2-1 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Luis Castillo • BOS: Michael Wacha+136
L 6-4 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Alex Cobb • CIN: Tyler Mahle+135

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PMason Thompson60-day IL
  • Dee Strange-GordonOut
  • PJosh RogersUnknown
  • SSAlcides Escobar10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BDonovan Solano60-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • PConnor Overton60-day IL
  • RFTyler Naquin10-day IL
NE 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°83°83°81°
Humidity31%31%32%37%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 4 mphNE 4 mphNE 4 mphENE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+110+113+117+113+117+117+117+118.7
Reds-120-135-127-123-127-127-123-118.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+120+118+121+120+118+120+121+118.7
Reds-130-128-132-130-128-130-128-118.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +117 to +108
Reds ML moved from -120 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 50.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +122 to +114
Reds ML moved from -132 to -138

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-185+1½-170+1½-173+1½-165+1½-173+1½-173+1½-165+1½-154
Reds-1½+160-1½+145-1½+153-1½+145-1½+153-1½+153-1½+153-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-170+1½-165+1½-159+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-159+1½-154
Reds-1½+150-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o10-105o10+105o10+100o10+100o10+105o10+105o10+104
Underu9½-110u10-115u10-125u10-120u10-120u10-125u10-115u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o10-105o9½-110o10-105o10-105o10-105o9½-110o10+104
Underu9½-115u10-115u9½-110u10-115u10-115u10-115u10-115u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10+100 to u10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-120
The Under moved from u10-115 to u9½-110
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