Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated
48.5%
Projected Runs: 3.75
Final Score: 4

Charlie Morton (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-15.41.5
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • TBR: Yonny Chirinos-130
W 5-14 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Mike Foltynewicz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow-135
W 5-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Thomas Hatch • TBR: Blake Snell-190
W 1-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Matt Shoemaker • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough-140
L 6-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Hyun-Jin Ryu • TBR: Charlie Morton-145

Injuries

Status
  • CFAustin Meadows10-day IL
  • PColin PocheOut for Season
51.5%
Projected Runs: 3.91
Final Score: 7

Mike Soroka (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-13.951.317
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 2-5 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Kyle Wright • TBR: Yonny Chirinos+123
L 5-14 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Mike Foltynewicz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+130
W 14-1 at New York MetsATL: Sean Newcomb • NYM: Rick Porcello-103
W 5-3 at New York MetsATL: Max Fried • NYM: Steven Matz-115
L 0-1 at New York MetsATL: Mike Soroka • NYM: Jacob deGrom+165

Injuries

Status
  • RFNick MarkakisOut
  • PWill SmithOut
  • PCole Hamels45-day IL
  • CTyler FlowersUnknown
  • CTravis d'ArnaudUnknown
  • PJeremy Walker60-day IL
  • PFelix HernandezOut for Season
W 6 mph
SunTrust Park, Atlanta
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°77°78°79°
Humidity70%77%82%87%
Precipitation33%20%19%19%
ConditionRainPartly CloudyPartly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindW 6 mphWSW 7 mphSW 5 mphSW 6 mph
Chad Fairchild
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay+119+113+110+115+113+115+115
Atlanta-129-123-130-125-123-125-123
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay+100+115+115+112+115+115+115
Atlanta-120-125-125-122-125-125-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +105 to -102
Atlanta ML moved from -118 to -124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +112 to +106
Atlanta ML moved from -119 to -125

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay+1½-185+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170
Atlanta-1½+160-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-190+1½-175+1½-175
Atlanta-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+165-1½+155-1½+165

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-125o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100-o8½+100o8½+100
Underu8½+105u8½-115u8½-115u8½-120-u8½-120u8½-115
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-110o8½+105o8-115o8½-105o8½+105o8½+100o8½+105
Underu8½-110u8½-125u8-105u8½-115u8½-125u8½-120u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8½-125