Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
49.0%51.0%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.12
2Final Score 11
Rank19
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank25
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank19
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
101-23.961.44

Pablo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-42.861.071

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 7-3 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Joe Ross • MIA: Cody Poteet-117
W 13-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Erick Fedde • PHI: Vince Velasquez+101
W 3-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Max Scherzer • PHI: Zack Wheeler-101
W 2-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • WSN: Patrick Corbin-112
W 2-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Robert Gsellman • WSN: Jon Lester-109
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 7-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joe Ross • MIA: Cody Poteet+109
L 3-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Robbie Ray • MIA: Trevor Rogers+109
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Ross Stripling • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-109
L 0-2 at Chicago CubsMIA: Zach Thompson • CHC: Alec Mills+140
W 11-1 at Chicago CubsMIA: Pablo Lopez • CHC: Jake Arrieta+116

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen Strasburg10-day IL
  • 1BJosh BellQuestionable
  • LFAndrew Stevenson10-day IL
  • PDaniel Hudson10-day IL
  • PKyle Finnegan10-day IL
  • SSJordy MercerUnknown

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 1BGarrett CooperUnknown
  • PDaniel Castano10-day IL
  • PNick Neidert10-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez60-day IL
  • SSJose Devers10-day IL
  • 1BJesus AguilarRest
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
E 7 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)83°81°80°81°
Humidity74%77%78%78%
Precipitation7%9%7%7%
ConditionHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastHumid and OvercastHumid and Overcast
WindE 7 mphENE 9 mphENE 10 mphENE 13 mph
Roberto Ortiz
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+130+133+130+125+133+125+133-
Marlins-140-147-150-135-143-135-135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+119+125+132+132+131+130+132-
Marlins-130-135-145-142-142-140-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +132 to +125
Marlins ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 30.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +136 to +130
Marlins ML moved from -139 to -145

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-165+1½-165+1½-166+1½-166+1½-166+1½-165-
Marlins-1½+160-1½+144-1½+145-1½+146-1½+146-1½+146-1½+146-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-180+1½-170+1½-164+1½-160+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160-
Marlins-1½+160-1½+150-1½+145-1½+140-1½+140-1½+145-1½+150-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½-119o7½-125o8+100o8+100o8+100o8+100-
Underu7½-110u7½-101u7½+105u8-120u8-120u8-120u7½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o8+100o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115-
Underu7½-115u8-120u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o8-105
The Under moved from u7½-102 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-120 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-105