Red Sox at Nationals

Updated
Rank11
R/G5.1
RA/G4.5
51.0%49.0%
Red Sox WinNationals Win
4.55Projected Runs 4.45
10Final Score 3
Rank28
R/G4.4
RA/G5.3
Rank11
R/G5.1
RA/G4.5
Rank28
R/G4.4
RA/G5.3

Pitching

Walker Buehler (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-66.451.582

Mitchell Parker (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-84.631.347

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 11-2 at Washington NationalsBOS: Lucas Giolito • WSN: Michael Soroka-108
L 8-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Martinez • BOS: Brennan Bernardino-120
W 3-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Brady Singer • BOS: Richard Fitts-113
W 6-13 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Chase Burns • BOS: Garrett Crochet-160
L 5-3 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Eric Lauer • BOS: Walker Buehler+100
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 11-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Lucas Giolito • WSN: Michael Soroka+102
W 7-11 vs Detroit TigersDET: Dietrich Enns • WSN: Jake Irvin+123
W 4-9 vs Detroit TigersDET: Jack Flaherty • WSN: MacKenzie Gore-107
L 11-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Tyler Holton • WSN: Trevor Williams+140
W 7-4 at Los Angeles AngelsWSN: Mitchell Parker • LAA: Jack Kochanowicz+115

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PHunter Dobbins15-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PAndrew Chafin15-day IL
SSE 7 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°87°86°85°
Humidity46%45%45%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSSE 7 mphSSE 8 mphSSE 7 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105-113-118-110-115-110-110-104.8
Nationals-105+103-102+100+105+100+105+104.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105-120-117-112-120-119-112-104.8
Nationals-105+105+105-103+110+109+110+104.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -109 to -119
Nationals ML moved from +104 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Nationals: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -112 to -120
Nationals ML moved from +100 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-207-1½+142-1½+145-1½+140-1½+135-1½+140-1½+145-1½+148
Nationals-1½+178+1½-158+1½-170+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+140+1½-215+1½-220+1½-200-1½+135-1½+148
Nationals+1½-170+1½-160-1½+185-1½+180-1½+175+1½-155+1½-148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o9½-118o10-105o10-105o10-105o10-105o9½-118o10+104
Underu9½+100u9½+102u10-115u10-115u10-115u10-115u9½+102u10-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10+100o10+100o10+105o10-110o10+100o10+105o10+104
Underu10-115u10-120u10-120u10-125u10-110u10-120u10-110u10-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+100 to o10-105
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10-105 to o10-110
The Under moved from u10-110 to u10-120