Reds at Phillies

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
43.1%56.9%
Reds WinPhillies Win
3.91Projected Runs 4.63
1Final Score 5
Rank5
R/G4.6
RA/G3.9
Rank16
R/G4.6
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G4.6
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-53.521.151

Ranger Suárez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
117-22.01.0

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 9-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Andrew Abbott • PHI: Jesus Luzardo+140
W 8-4 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Nick Martinez • BOS: Brennan Bernardino+115
L 3-5 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Brady Singer • BOS: Richard Fitts+110
L 6-13 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Chase Burns • BOS: Garrett Crochet+150
W 2-3 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Stephen Kolek • CIN: Nick Lodolo-130
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 9-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Andrew Abbott • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-150
W 1-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Dylan Cease • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-140
L 6-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Nick Pivetta • PHI: Mick Abel+105
W 0-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Matt Waldron • PHI: Zack Wheeler-257
W 2-1 at Atlanta BravesPHI: Ranger Suárez • ATL: Spencer Strider+145

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PWade Miley15-day IL
  • RFJake Fraley10-day IL
  • 1BConnor Joe10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PAaron Nola60-day IL
  • PJose AlvaradoOut
SW 7 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°87°86°85°
Humidity38%37%39%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindSW 7 mphSW 7 mphSW 7 mphSW 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+149+168+152+167+173+167+173+173.3
Phillies-165-184-184-185-183-185-183-173.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+150+180+170+171+170+170+180+173.3
Phillies-170-200-190-186-196-190-186-173.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Phillies ML moved from -182 to -191

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 70.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Phillies ML moved from -178 to -186

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-145+1½-123+1½-130+1½-128+1½-125+1½-128+1½-123+1½-117
Phillies-1½+125-1½+107-1½+110-1½+108-1½+105-1½+108-1½+110-1½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-140+1½-125+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-117
Phillies-1½+120-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110-1½+117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o9+102o9-105o8½-125o8½-125o8½-125o9+102o8½-114
Underu8½-115u9-118u9-115u8½+105u8½+105u8½+105u9-115u8½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-120o8½-122o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-114
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½+102u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+102u8½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o9+100
The Under moved from u8½+101 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
No Steam Moves On Under