Red Sox at Astros

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
46.6%53.4%
Red Sox WinAstros Win
3.76Projected Runs 4.11
4Final Score 5
Rank13
R/G4.4
RA/G5.5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank13
R/G4.4
RA/G5.5

Pitching

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-13.161.336

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2211-63.141.248

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Collin McHugh • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-106
W 4-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi-117
W 14-6 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Chris Sale • TBR: Shane Baz+132
L 0-5 at Tampa Bay RaysBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • TBR: Shane McClanahan+148
W 2-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BOS: Nathan Eovaldi+125
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 10-1 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Lance McCullers • CHW: Carlos Rodon-105
L 6-12 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Luis Garcia • CHW: Dylan Cease+110
W 4-9 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • HOU: Framber Valdez-104
W 1-6 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lance Lynn • HOU: Lance McCullers-127
W 6-7 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Cole Irvin • HOU: Jose Urquidy-155

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Richards10-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSFreudis Nova60-day IL
  • CFJacob MeyersQuestionable
  • PLance McCullers JrOut
N 8 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)82°81°78°76°
Humidity76%73%72%72%
Precipitation4%3%2%1%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindN 8 mphNNW 9 mphNNW 12 mphN 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+128+126+129+133+129+129+133+129.3
Astros-138-150-139-143-139-139-139-129.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1800+131+127+131+137+131+137+129.3
Astros+850-141-139-141-149-141-139-129.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 40.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +128 to +120
No Steam Moves On Astros ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 70.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +137 to +131
Astros ML moved from -138 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-150+1½-157+1½-155+1½-157+1½-157+1½-150+1½-149
Astros-1½+135-1½+130-1½+137-1½+135-1½+137-1½+137-1½+137-1½+149
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-155+1½-155+1½-157+1½-150+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150+1½-149
Astros-1½+135-1½+135-1½+138-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-1½+138-1½+149

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-111o8½-125o8½-125o8½-125o8½-123o8½-125o8½-123o8½-109
Underu8-101u8½+105u8½+105u8½+105u8½+103u8½+105u8½+105u8½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-109
Underu8½-120u8½+100u8½+105u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½+105u8½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-111 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-125
No Steam Moves On Under