Baltimore at NY Mets

Updated

VS

38.5%
Projected Runs: 4.42
Final Score: 6
61.5%
Projected Runs: 5.62
Final Score: 7

Pitching

Jorge Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-05.591.293

Rick Porcello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-45.541.462

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
W 11-2 at New York MetsBAL: John Means • NYM: Michael Wacha+165
W 1-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Masahiro Tanaka • BAL: Dean Kremer+180
W 1-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BAL: Keegan Akin+215
W 3-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Deivi Garcia • BAL: Jorge Lopez+156
L 6-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Mike King • BAL: Thomas Eshelman+138
New York Mets
Money Line
L 11-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: John Means • NYM: Michael Wacha-176
L 9-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: David Peterson+116
W 1-14 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • NYM: Jacob deGrom-154
W 1-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Spencer Howard • NYM: Seth Lugo-155
L 5-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jake Arrieta • NYM: Rick Porcello-133

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PAlex Cobb10-day IL
  • CPedro SeverinoRest
  • PShawn Armstrong10-day IL
  • PWade LeBlanc60-day IL
  • RFAnthony Santander10-day IL
  • CFAustin Hays10-day IL

New York Mets

Status
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • PCorey Oswalt10-day IL
  • CWilson RamosRest
  • PDellin Betances10-day IL
  • 3BTodd FrazierRest
  • PFranklyn Kilome10-day IL
  • 2BEduardo Nunez45-day IL
  • PSteven Matz10-day IL
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
ESE 7 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°75°76°77°
Humidity79%84%82%80%
Precipitation5%8%7%6%
ConditionMostly CloudyOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindESE 7 mphESE 6 mphESE 5 mphESE 4 mph
Paul Nauert
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Baltimore+152+173+160+166+175+166+175
NY Mets-165-183-185-181-195-181-181
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Baltimore+155-+172+168+165+170+172
NY Mets-165--190-183-185-185-183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NY Mets: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Baltimore: 20.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Baltimore: 0.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Baltimore: 10.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Baltimore ML
NY Mets ML moved from -170 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Baltimore: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NY Mets: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Baltimore: 20.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Baltimore: 0.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Baltimore: 0.0%
NY Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Baltimore ML
NY Mets ML moved from -180 to -192

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Baltimore+1½-135+1½-125+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125
NY Mets-1½+115-1½+105-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+110
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Baltimore+1½-140-+1½-121+1½-125+1½-130+1½-130+1½-121
NY Mets-1½+120--1½+103-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9-105o9½-105o9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105
Underu9-115u9½-115u9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-110
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9½+100-o9½+105o9-120o9½+100o9½+100o9½+105
Underu9½-120-u9½-125u9+100u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-115 to u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120