Tigers at Astros

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.2
41.6%58.4%
Tigers WinAstros Win
3.28Projected Runs 4.16
2Final Score 4
Rank26
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G4.1
RA/G4.2
Rank26
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
143-54.41.34

Hunter Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-00.841.03

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
W 9-3 at Houston AstrosDET: Drew Anderson • HOU: Kei-Wei Teng+111
L 1-3 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Casey Mize • CLE: Joey Cantillo-130
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansDET: Jack Flaherty • CLE: Tanner Bibee+110
W 0-11 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Zebby Matthews • DET: Keider Montero-122
L 6-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Mike Paredes • DET: Framber Valdez-155
Houston Astros
Money Line
L 9-3 vs Detroit TigersDET: Drew Anderson • HOU: Kei-Wei Teng-120
L 0-4 at Kansas City RoyalsHOU: Spencer Arrighetti • KCR: Stephen Kolek+107
W 8-7 at Kansas City RoyalsHOU: Mike Burrows • KCR: Noah Cameron+120
W 10-8 at Kansas City RoyalsHOU: Tatsuya Imai • KCR: Luinder Avila+100
L 2-3 at Los Angeles AngelsHOU: Peter Lambert • LAA: Reid Detmers+113

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • PJack Flaherty15-day IL
  • PCasey MizeNamed Starter
  • SSJavier Baez60-day IL
  • PBurch Smith15-day IL
  • PTroy MeltonQuestionable
  • PBrant Hurter15-day IL
  • PJustin Verlander60-day IL
  • 2BGleyber TorresRest
  • 3BColt KeithRest
  • SSTrey SweeneyOut for Season

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSBraden Shewmake10-day IL
  • SSNick Allen10-day IL
  • PLance McCullers Jr.15-day IL
  • CYainer DiazProbable
  • CFLaMonte Wade Jr.10-day IL
  • PPeter LambertNamed Starter
ESE 3 mph
Daikin Park, Houston, TX
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°80°79°78°
Humidity82%85%88%90%
Precipitation15%23%28%29%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 3 mphESE 5 mphESE 5 mphESE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+122+148+141+147+153+147+153+153.1
Astros-135-161-170-163-163-163-161-153.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+133+152+148+150+153+153+153+153.1
Astros-150-165-165-165-175-168-165-153.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +154 to +147
Astros ML moved from -168 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +159 to +150
Astros ML moved from -160 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-167+1½-152+1½-150+1½-157+1½-145+1½-157+1½-145+1½-145
Astros-1½+147-1½+134-1½+130-1½+137-1½+125-1½+137-1½+137-1½+145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-160+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145
Astros-1½+140-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½-103o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-110o8½-103o8½+100
Underu8-120u8½-109u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8½-115o8-125o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-105o8½+100
Underu7½-105u8½-105u8+105u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-105u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-102 to u8½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
No Steam Moves On Under