Nationals at Red Sox

Updated

Washington Nationals

(43-42)
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G5.2
37.8%62.2%
Nationals WinRed Sox Win
3.66Projected Runs 4.94

Boston Red Sox

(36-46)
Rank17
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G5.2
Rank17
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Miles Mikolas (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-65.241.29

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
153-32.831.14

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 6-4 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Zack Littell • BAL: Kyle Bradish+175
W 4-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Foster Griffin • BAL: Brandon Young+103
L 1-3 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Andrew Alvarez • BAL: Trevor Rogers+120
L 10-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • WSN: Cade Cavalli+158
L 5-4 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • WSN: Carson Palmquist+111
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-5 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodón • BOS: Sonny Gray-105
W 1-4 vs New York YankeesNYY: Gerrit Cole • BOS: Jake Bennett+108
W 1-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • BOS: Payton Tolle-116
W 3-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Cam Schlittler • BOS: Connelly Early+131
L 6-8 at Colorado RockiesBOS: Ranger Suarez • COL: Kyle Freeland-152

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PRichard Lovelady15-day IL
  • PMitchell Parker15-day IL
  • PDJ HerzOut

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BMarcelo Mayer10-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony60-day IL
  • PJovani Moran15-day IL
  • 1BNick Sogard10-day IL
  • PGarrett Crochet60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • SSIsiah Kiner-Falefa10-day IL
ESE 6 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°70°
Humidity54%59%64%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearClear
WindESE 6 mphESE 4 mphSE 4 mphSSE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+162+154+145+152+157+152+157+158.0
Red Sox-180-172-177-168-167-168-167-158.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+157+152+150+147+147+150+152+158.0
Red Sox-182-165-167-162-166-165-162-158.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +160 to +154
Red Sox ML moved from -164 to -171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +165 to +149
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-145+1½-139+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-139+1½-128
Red Sox-1½+125-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-130+1½-145+1½-135+1½-135+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135+1½-128
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+125-1½+115-1½+115-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½+106o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½-110o8½+106o8½+100
Underu8½+100u8½-120u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100
Underu8½+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-116
The Under moved from u8½-109 to u8½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110
Rangers at Guardians
Reds at Brewers