St. Louis at Chicago Cubs

Updated

VS

43.8%
Projected Runs: 3.88
Final Score: 5

Chicago Cubs

(36-27)
56.2%
Projected Runs: 4.53
Final Score: 8

Pitching

Johan Oviedo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-25.251.542

Kohl Stewart (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-13.121.5

Last 5 Games

St. Louis Cardinals
Money Line
W 2-8 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Jean Carlos Mejia • STL: Adam Wainwright-130
L 10-1 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Shane Bieber • STL: Carlos Martinez+153
L 8-7 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • STL: John Gant-116
L 5-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • STL: Johan Oviedo+105
L 6-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • STL: Kwang Hyun Kim-124
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-1 at San Diego PadresCHC: Jake Arrieta • SDP: Yu Darvish+235
W 7-1 at San Diego PadresCHC: Zach Davies • SDP: Dinelson Lamet+175
L 4-9 at San Diego PadresCHC: Adbert Alzolay • SDP: Ryan Weathers+109
W 4-3 at San Francisco GiantsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • SFG: Johnny Cueto-109
L 3-4 at San Francisco GiantsCHC: Kohl Stewart • SFG: Kevin Gausman+150

Injuries

St. Louis Cardinals

Status
  • SSPaul DeJongUnknown
  • PKodi Whitley10-day IL
  • 2BMax Moroff10-day IL
  • CFHarrison Bader10-day IL
  • PKwang-hyun Kim10-day IL
  • PMiles Mikolas60-day IL
  • PJack Flaherty10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PJustin Steele10-day IL
  • 3BMatt Duffy10-day IL
  • CFIan HappRest
  • CP.J. Higgins10-day IL
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
  • PTrevor Williams10-day IL
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • SSJavier BaezUnknown
  • PAdbert Alzolay10-day IL
ENE 6 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)82°82°82°81°
Humidity65%63%62%63%
Precipitation2%1%2%3%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 6 mphENE 7 mphE 8 mphE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
St. Louis+115+135+125+138+141+138+141
Chicago Cubs-135-150-145-149-151-149-145
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
St. Louis+117+139+130+135+132+137+139
Chicago Cubs-127-149-142-145-143-147-142

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
St. Louis: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Louis: 20.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

St. Louis: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Louis: 40.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Louis ML moved from +138 to +123
Chicago Cubs ML moved from -139 to -150

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
St. Louis: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

St. Louis: 20.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

St. Louis: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

St. Louis: 40.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

St. Louis ML moved from +132 to +126
Chicago Cubs ML moved from -136 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
St. Louis+1½-110+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150
Chicago Cubs-1½-110-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
St. Louis+1½-160+1½-155+1½-153+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-153
Chicago Cubs-1½+140-1½+135-1½+134-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9-105o9½+105o9½+105o9½+100o9½+100o9½+100o9½+105
Underu9-115u9½-125u9½-125u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120u9½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9-105o9½+100o9½-105o9-125o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100
Underu9-115u9½-120u9½-115u9+105u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-116 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-115