Mets at Phillies

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
44.0%56.0%
Mets WinPhillies Win
4.37Projected Runs 5.00
10Final Score 6
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.9
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank5
R/G4.3
RA/G3.9

Pitching

Seth Lugo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-32.631.098

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-32.40.888

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 5-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Jacob deGrom • PHI: Zack Wheeler-172
L 1-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesNYM: Rick Porcello • PHI: Jake Arrieta-117
L 3-7 at Toronto Blue JaysNYM: David Peterson • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu+144
L 2-3 at Toronto Blue JaysNYM: Seth Lugo • TOR: Robbie Ray-161
W 18-1 at Toronto Blue JaysNYM: Jacob deGrom • TOR: Chase Anderson-215
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 5-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • PHI: Zack Wheeler+163
W 1-4 vs New York MetsNYM: Rick Porcello • PHI: Jake Arrieta+115
L 2-6 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Vince Velasquez • MIA: Pablo Lopez+110
L 1-8 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Zach Eflin • MIA: Braxton Garrett-145
L 1-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Ramon Rosso • MIA: Sixto Sanchez+159

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PFranklyn Kilome10-day IL
  • SSAmed RosarioRest
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
  • PRobert Gsellman10-day IL
  • CWilson RamosRest
  • PCorey Oswalt10-day IL
  • 3BTodd FrazierRest
  • 2BEduardo Nunez45-day IL
  • PDellin Betances10-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFKyle Garlick10-day IL
  • PJake ArrietaOut
  • 1BRhys Hoskins10-day IL
  • 2BScott KingeryRest
  • RFJay Bruce10-day IL
  • CJ.T. RealmutoUnknown
  • PJose Alvarez60-day IL
  • PSpencer Howard10-day IL
SW 2 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°70°70°70°
Humidity81%85%86%83%
Precipitation13%11%23%23%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSW 2 mphENE 1 mphSSE 3 mphS 5 mph
Mark Wegner
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+125+102+102+105+110+102+110-
Phillies-135-122-112-115-120-112-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+126+107+104+100+105+105+107-
Phillies-136-117-114-120-115-115-114-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 30.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +109 to +100
Phillies ML moved from -127 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 0.0%
Phillies: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 10.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +110 to +100
Phillies ML moved from -112 to -122

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-180+1½-190+1½-195+1½-190+1½-195+1½-195+1½-190-
Phillies-1½+160-1½+165-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+170-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-170+1½-190+1½-194+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185-
Phillies-1½+150-1½+170-1½+172-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+172-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o7½-120o7½-120o8-105o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120-
Underu8-110u7½+100u7½+100u8-115u7½+100u7½+100u8-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o7½-120o8-103o7½-125o7½-120o8-105o7½-120-
Underu8-120u7½+100u8-117u7½+105u7½+100u8-115u7½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-122