NY Mets at Toronto

Updated

VS

46.5%
Projected Runs: 4.86
Final Score: 3
53.5%
Projected Runs: 5.23
Final Score: 7

Pitching

David Peterson (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
64-14.261.358

Hyun Jin Ryu (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-13.191.146

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
L 2-3 at Toronto Blue JaysNYM: Seth Lugo • TOR: Robbie Ray-161
W 18-1 at Toronto Blue JaysNYM: Jacob deGrom • TOR: Chase Anderson-215
W 6-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Jorge Lopez • NYM: Rick Porcello-183
L 11-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: John Means • NYM: Michael Wacha-176
L 9-8 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Zack Wheeler • NYM: David Peterson+116
Toronto Blue Jays
Money Line
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Seth Lugo • TOR: Robbie Ray+155
L 18-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • TOR: Chase Anderson+197
L 7-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: Deivi Garcia • TOR: Tanner Roark+137
W 1-2 vs New York YankeesNYY: J.A. Happ • TOR: Taijuan Walker+102
W 7-12 vs New York YankeesNYY: Jordan Montgomery • TOR: Hyun Jin Ryu-123

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • CTomas Nido10-day IL
  • PDellin Betances10-day IL
  • DHRobinson CanoRest
  • CWilson RamosRest
  • PCorey Oswalt10-day IL
  • PSteven Matz10-day IL
  • 2BEduardo Nunez45-day IL
  • PRobert Gsellman10-day IL
  • PFranklyn Kilome10-day IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Status
  • RFTeoscar Hernandez10-day IL
  • 1BRowdy Tellez10-day IL
  • PNate Pearson10-day IL
  • SSBo Bichette10-day IL
  • PWilmer Font10-day IL
  • PMatt Shoemaker10-day IL
  • PTrent ThorntonOut for Season
  • PJordan Romano10-day IL
WSW 16 mph
Sahlen Field, Buffalo, NY
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)72°72°70°69°
Humidity88%84%87%87%
Precipitation7%6%3%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 16 mphWSW 16 mphWSW 15 mphSW 14 mph
Chad Fairchild
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
NY Mets+130+143+141+142+145+142+145
Toronto-140-153-162-154-160-154-153
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
NY Mets+125-+133+143+140+144+144
Toronto-135--146-153-155-154-146

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NY Mets: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NY Mets: 50.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

NY Mets: 0.0%
Toronto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NY Mets: 30.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NY Mets ML moved from +146 to +139
Toronto ML moved from -148 to -161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NY Mets: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NY Mets: 40.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

NY Mets: 0.0%
Toronto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NY Mets: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NY Mets ML moved from +144 to +133
Toronto ML moved from -139 to -155

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
NY Mets+1½-150+1½-140+1½-140+1½-147+1½-140+1½-147+1½-140
Toronto-1½+130-1½+120-1½+120-1½+127-1½+120-1½+127-1½+127
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
NY Mets+1½-150-+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135
Toronto-1½+130--1½+131-1½+125-1½+120-1½+115-1½+131

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½-103o9½-105o9½-103o9½-103
Underu9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-117u9½-115u9½-117u9½-115
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9½+100-o9-125o9½+110o9½+100o9½+100o9½+110
Underu9½-120-u9+105u9½-130u9½-120u9½-120u9+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9½-130