Phillies at Reds

Updated

Philadelphia Phillies

(15-8)
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
52.6%47.4%
Phillies WinReds Win
4.37Projected Runs 4.11
17Final Score 3

Cincinnati Reds

(12-10)
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank5
R/G4.5
RA/G3.7
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
113-43.721.102

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-33.41.323

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
L 1-11 at Cincinnati RedsPHI: Vince Velasquez • CIN: Wade Miley+100
L 2-6 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Zach Eflin • TBR: Collin McHugh+133
L 3-5 at Tampa Bay RaysPHI: Zack Wheeler • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough+110
W 3-2 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Spencer Howard • MIA: Pablo Lopez+131
L 2-4 at Miami MarlinsPHI: Aaron Nola • MIA: Nick Neidert-158
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-11 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Vince Velasquez • CIN: Wade Miley-105
W 5-1 at Chicago CubsCIN: Tyler Mahle • CHC: Jake Arrieta+106
L 2-10 at Chicago CubsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Zach Davies+105
L 0-1 at Chicago CubsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+168
W 3-0 at Washington NationalsCIN: Sonny Gray • WSN: Stephen Strasburg+117

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • CFRoman QuinnOut for Season
  • SSDidi Gregorius10-day IL
  • RFBryce Harper10-day IL
  • PJoJo Romero60-day IL
  • 2BScott KingeryUnknown

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 2BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • PJeff Hoffman10-day IL
  • 2BMax Schrock10-day IL
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
SW 3 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)74°72°70°68°
Humidity58%63%67%73%
Precipitation1%3%5%5%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSW 3 mphSSW 4 mphSSW 3 mphSSE 3 mph
Gabe Morales
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+110-104-110-105-105-105-104-
Reds-120-106-110-105-105-105-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-105+104+100+101+103+101+104-
Reds-105-114-110-111-113-111-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +101 to -105
Reds ML moved from -103 to -110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Phillies: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Phillies: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +100 to -104
Reds ML moved from -108 to -114

Run Lines

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165+1½-215+1½-215+1½-215-
Reds+1½-180+1½-185+1½-190-1½+185-1½+185-1½+185-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+165-1½+165-1½+162+1½-215-1½+155+1½-210-
Reds+1½-185+1½-185+1½-182-1½+185+1½-180-1½+185-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+105o7½-108o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100-
Underu7½-125u7½-112u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110-
Underu7+100u7½-105u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110
Marlins at Blue Jays
Nationals at Braves