Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(74-88)
Rank21
R/G4.1
RA/G4.5
53.5%46.5%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.66Projected Runs 4.29
6Final Score 5
Rank29
R/G3.6
RA/G5.0
Rank21
R/G4.1
RA/G4.5
Rank29
R/G3.6
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Javier Assad (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-23.861.543

Bryse Wilson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
183-96.071.48

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 3-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCHC: Hayden Wesneski • PIT: Mitch Keller+106
W 4-3 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Marcus Stroman • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+104
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Adrian Sampson • MIA: Pablo Lopez+152
L 3-10 at Miami MarlinsCHC: Wade Miley • MIA: Edward Cabrera+128
L 4-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • CHC: Javier Assad-115
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Hayden Wesneski • PIT: Mitch Keller-110
L 2-14 at New York YankeesPIT: Roansy Contreras • NYY: Luis Severino+245
L 8-9 at New York YankeesPIT: Luis Ortiz • NYY: Nestor Cortes+270
L 3-7 at New York MetsPIT: Johan Oviedo • NYM: Jacob deGrom+385
L 1-5 at New York MetsPIT: Bryse Wilson • NYM: Chris Bassitt+278

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • PAlec Mills60-day IL
  • PJustin SteeleUnknown
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • RFSeiya SuzukiOut
  • LFRafael OrtegaOut for Season
  • 3BChristopher MorelRest
  • PDrew SmylyOut
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • SSNico HoernerUnknown

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • PJT BrubakerUnknown
  • PColin HoldermanUnknown
N 7 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)60°56°57°58°
Humidity50%56%54%65%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Cloudy
WindN 7 mphNNE 6 mphN 5 mphN 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-110+107+101+109+109+109+109+111.6
Pirates+100-116-121-119-119-119-116-111.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-110+115+107+110+112+105+115+111.6
Pirates+100-125-117-120-122-115-117-111.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Pirates ML moved from -116 to -122

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cubs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 70.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +110 to +104
Pirates ML moved from -115 to -125

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+140+1½-197+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-180
Pirates+1½-165-1½+173-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+173-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+145+1½-200+1½-195+1½-190+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190+1½-180
Pirates+1½-165-1½+175-1½+173-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8-113o8-115o8-108o8-108o8-108o8-108o8-104
Underu8-120u8-103u8-105u8-112u8-112u8-112u8-103u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-110o8-104
Underu8+100u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-113 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110