Guardians at Pirates

Updated

Cleveland Guardians

(17-7)
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
67.9%32.1%
Guardians WinPirates Win
5.24Projected Runs 3.39
6Final Score 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

(13-12)
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-23.61.12

Steven Brault (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-05.141.429

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 6-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Carlos Carrasco • PIT: JT Brubaker-180
W 8-5 at Detroit TigersCLE: Adam Plutko • DET: Michael Fulmer-145
W 3-1 at Detroit TigersCLE: Shane Bieber • DET: Spencer Turnbull-175
W 10-5 at Detroit TigersCLE: Aaron Civale • DET: Ivan Nova-195
L 7-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-116
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 6-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • PIT: JT Brubaker+170
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Chad Kuhl • CIN: Sonny Gray+186
W 9-6 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Trevor Williams • CIN: Anthony DeSclafani+160
L 2-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Spencer Turnbull • PIT: Steven Brault+132
L 11-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Ivan Nova • PIT: Derek Holland-135

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFOscar MercadoRest
  • PMike ClevingerOut
  • LFJake BauersRest
  • PZach PlesacOut

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PClay Holmes60-day IL
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
NW 6 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°74°72°71°
Humidity39%42%44%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNW 6 mphNW 5 mphNNW 5 mphN 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-170-185-183-179-190-183-179-
Pirates+157+160+168+169+170+168+170-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-170--179-180-185-185-179-
Pirates+160-+162+165+165+170+170-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -173 to -182
Pirates ML moved from +166 to +157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Guardians: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -172 to -180
No Steam Moves On Pirates ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½-105-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-
Pirates+1½-115+1½+110+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½-110--1½-117-1½-125-1½-130-1½-125-1½-117-
Pirates+1½-110-+1½-101+1½+105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+110-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9-125o9-130o9½+100o9½+100o9-130o9½+100-
Underu9-105u9+105u9+110u9½-120u9½-120u9+110u9+110-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105-o9-115o9-125o9-115o9-115o9-115-
Underu9-115-u9-105u9+105u9-105u9-105u9+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-120 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+105 to u9-105
Cubs at Cardinals
Rays at Yankees