NEC Nijmegen at Vitesse

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

34.5%27.8%37.7%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawVitesse Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.22
3Final Score 0

Vitesse

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Fortuna Sittard+215
W 1-3 vs PSV Eindhoven+625
L 0-1 at Utrecht+280
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen+105
W 5-2 at Volendam-165
Vitesse
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+185
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+1225
T 1-1 vs Almere City+120
L 1-3 at RKC Waalwijk+220
L 2-1 vs Twente+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+144+132+130+133+128+133+133+144.5
Vitesse+185+197+185+189+200+189+200+203.2
Draw+258+267+265+265+271+265+271+282.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+130----+130+130+144.5
Vitesse+195----+190+190+203.2
Draw+260----+265+265+282.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +147 to +135
Vitesse ML moved from +190 to +180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Vitesse: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +140 to +130
Vitesse ML moved from +195 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3+108o2¾-120o2¾-121o2¾-119o2¾-121o2¾-119o2¾-110
Underu3-125u3-128u2¾+100u2¾+101u2¾+101u2¾+101u3-128u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-110
Under-----u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-122 to u2¾-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.24%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.00%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 55.90%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 031.39%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.07%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 029.43%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.19%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 058.48%
Exactly 131.37%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 056.76%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals14.22%
Wins by 3+ goals4.52%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals16.22%
Wins by 3+ goals5.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal20.31%
Wins by 2 goals9.70%
Wins by 3 goals3.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal21.44%
Wins by 2 goals10.81%
Wins by 3 goals3.97%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.76%9.24%
1.568.76%31.24%
2.542.56%57.44%
3.521.75%78.25%
4.59.36%90.64%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.61%31.39%
1.532.24%67.76%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.57%29.43%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.81%33.19%
1.530.20%69.80%
2.510.02%89.98%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
Score012345
0
9.24%
11.30%
6.91%
2.82%
0.86%
0.21%
1
10.70%
13.09%
8.01%
3.27%
1.00%
0.24%
2
6.20%
7.58%
4.64%
1.89%
0.58%
0.14%
3
2.39%
2.93%
1.79%
0.73%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.69%
0.85%
0.52%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.16%
0.20%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-010.70%
2-06.20%
2-17.58%
3-02.39%
3-12.93%
3-21.79%
4-00.69%
4-10.85%
4-20.52%
4-30.21%
5-00.16%
5-10.20%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.24%
1-113.09%
2-24.64%
3-30.73%
Vitesse
0-111.30%
0-26.91%
1-28.01%
0-32.82%
1-33.27%
2-31.89%
0-40.86%
1-41.00%
2-40.58%
3-40.22%
0-50.21%
1-50.24%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse
Score01234
0
33.19%
18.80%
5.32%
1.01%
0.14%
1
17.81%
10.09%
2.86%
0.54%
0.08%
2
4.78%
2.71%
0.77%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.85%
0.48%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-017.81%
2-04.78%
2-12.71%
3-00.85%
3-10.48%
3-20.14%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-033.19%
1-110.09%
2-20.77%
Vitesse
0-118.80%
0-25.32%
1-22.86%
0-31.01%
1-30.54%
2-30.14%
0-40.14%
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