Heerenveen at Heracles Almelo

Updated

Heerenveen

40.1%27.3%32.6%
Heerenveen WinDrawHeracles Almelo Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 0

Heracles Almelo

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Utrecht+160
T 3-3 vs Twente+275
T 1-1 at RKC Waalwijk+140
L 3-2 vs Feyenoord+590
L 0-2 at NEC Nijmegen+245
Heracles Almelo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam+410
W 0-5 vs AZ Alkmaar+600
L 0-1 at Twente+1350
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles+210
L 0-3 at Feyenoord+2200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+138+153+155+152+150+152+155+164.3
Heracles Almelo+192+172+165+162+172+162+172+174.8
Draw+261+261+240+270+263+270+270+288.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+140----+145+145+164.3
Heracles Almelo+180----+170+170+174.8
Draw+260----+265+265+288.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +155 to +140
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +175 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 20.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
Heracles Almelo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +145 to +135
Heracles Almelo ML moved from +185 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+116o3+106o3+105o3+108o2¾-121o3+108o2¾-121o3+117
Underu3-136u3-124u3-125u3-128u2¾+103u3-128u3-124u3-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+117
Under-----u3-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.70%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.24%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.29%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 027.28%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 39.97%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 031.89%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.29%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 054.80%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 29.91%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heracles Almelo
Exactly 058.91%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals18.03%
Wins by 3+ goals6.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.39%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 2+ goals13.10%
Wins by 3+ goals4.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal22.04%
Wins by 2 goals11.72%
Wins by 3 goals4.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.38%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%
Heracles Almelo
Wins by 1 goal19.39%
Wins by 2 goals9.07%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.30%8.70%
1.570.06%29.94%
2.544.12%55.88%
3.523.01%76.99%
4.510.12%89.88%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.72%27.28%
1.537.28%62.72%
2.514.27%85.73%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Heracles Almelo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.11%31.89%
1.531.66%68.34%
2.510.84%89.16%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.71%32.29%
1.531.21%68.79%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Score012345
0
8.70%
9.94%
5.68%
2.16%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.30%
12.92%
7.38%
2.81%
0.80%
0.18%
2
7.34%
8.39%
4.79%
1.83%
0.52%
0.12%
3
3.18%
3.63%
2.08%
0.79%
0.23%
0.05%
4
1.03%
1.18%
0.67%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.27%
0.31%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-011.30%
2-07.34%
2-18.39%
3-03.18%
3-13.63%
3-22.08%
4-01.03%
4-11.18%
4-20.67%
4-30.26%
5-00.27%
5-10.31%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.70%
1-112.92%
2-24.79%
3-30.79%
Heracles Almelo
0-19.94%
0-25.68%
1-27.38%
0-32.16%
1-32.81%
2-31.83%
0-40.62%
1-40.80%
2-40.52%
3-40.23%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
Score01234
0
32.29%
17.08%
4.52%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.42%
10.27%
2.72%
0.48%
0.06%
2
5.84%
3.09%
0.82%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.17%
0.62%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-019.42%
2-05.84%
2-13.09%
3-01.17%
3-10.62%
3-20.16%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-032.29%
1-110.27%
2-20.82%
Heracles Almelo
0-117.08%
0-24.52%
1-22.72%
0-30.80%
1-30.48%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%