NAC Breda at Sparta R'dam

Updated

NAC Breda

19.9%20.7%59.4%
WinDrawSparta R'dam Win
1.13Projected Goals 2.09
2Final Score 0

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Almere City-135
T 2-2 at Willem II+245
L 3-0 vs PSV Eindhoven+900
L 0-2 at Heracles Almelo+235
W 1-4 vs RKC Waalwijk-145
Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 0-1 at Zwolle+155
L 2-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+170
L 0-1 at Groningen+190
L 4-1 vs Utrecht+170
L 0-2 at Heerenveen+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+432+391+380+365+387+365+391+391.1
Sparta R'dam-145-130-140-133-141-133-130-117.6
Draw+285+269+250+270+270+270+270+290.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+255----+315+315+391.1
Sparta R'dam+110-----115-115-117.6
Draw+245----+260+260+290.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +380 to +365
Sparta R'dam ML moved from -120 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On NAC Breda ML
Sparta R'dam ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½-113o2½-105o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½-105o2½+103
Underu2½+112u2½-104u2½-115u2½-113u2½-112u2½-113u2½-104u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%
 
No40.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.99%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 417.90%
Exactly 66.19%
Exactly 81.15%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.85%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 511.54%
Exactly 72.85%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 032.26%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 37.79%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 012.37%
Exactly 125.85%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.82%
Exactly 49.84%
Exactly 54.11%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.50%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 44.64%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.56%
Exactly 312.44%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 059.23%
Exactly 131.02%
Exactly 28.12%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 037.99%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals7.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals36.41%
Wins by 3+ goals18.44%
Wins by 4+ goals7.81%
Wins by 5+ goals2.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.86%
Wins by 7+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal12.42%
Wins by 2 goals5.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals17.97%
Wins by 3 goals10.63%
Wins by 4 goals5.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.95%
Wins by 6 goals0.64%
Wins by 7 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.01%3.99%
1.583.16%16.84%
2.562.46%37.54%
3.540.23%59.77%
4.522.32%77.68%
5.510.79%89.21%
6.54.59%95.41%
7.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.74%32.26%
1.531.24%68.76%
2.510.60%89.40%
3.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.63%12.37%
1.561.79%38.21%
2.534.77%65.23%
3.515.95%84.05%
4.56.12%93.88%
5.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.50%22.50%
1.543.93%56.07%
2.518.90%81.10%
3.56.46%93.54%
4.51.82%98.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Score012345
0
3.99%
8.34%
8.71%
6.07%
3.17%
1.33%
1
4.51%
9.43%
9.86%
6.87%
3.59%
1.50%
2
2.55%
5.34%
5.58%
3.89%
2.03%
0.85%
3
0.96%
2.01%
2.10%
1.47%
0.77%
0.32%
4
0.27%
0.57%
0.59%
0.41%
0.22%
0.09%
NAC Breda
1-04.51%
2-02.55%
2-15.34%
3-00.96%
3-12.01%
3-22.10%
4-00.27%
4-10.57%
4-20.59%
4-30.41%
Draw
0-03.99%
1-19.43%
2-25.58%
3-31.47%
4-40.22%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-18.34%
0-28.71%
1-29.86%
0-36.07%
1-36.87%
2-33.89%
0-43.17%
1-43.59%
2-42.03%
3-40.77%
0-51.33%
1-51.50%
2-50.85%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Score012345
0
22.50%
21.78%
10.54%
3.40%
0.82%
0.16%
1
11.79%
11.41%
5.52%
1.78%
0.43%
0.08%
2
3.09%
2.99%
1.45%
0.47%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.54%
0.52%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
NAC Breda
1-011.79%
2-03.09%
2-12.99%
3-00.54%
3-10.52%
3-20.25%
Draw
0-022.50%
1-111.41%
2-21.45%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-121.78%
0-210.54%
1-25.52%
0-33.40%
1-31.78%
2-30.47%
0-40.82%
1-40.43%
2-40.11%
0-50.16%
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