Utrecht at Willem II

Updated

Utrecht

44.2%25.8%30.1%
Utrecht WinDrawWillem II Win
1.47Projected Goals 1.17
3Final Score 2

Willem II

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
T 2-2 at PSV Eindhoven
L 1-0 vs Almere City
T 3-3 at Zwolle
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo
Willem II
Money Line
L 0-4 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 3-1 vs Groningen
T 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven
L 2-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
L 0-2 at RKC Waalwijk

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+100+106+105+112+102+112+112+122.9
Willem II+260+273+260+250+265+250+273+268.0
Draw+235+249+225+240+243+240+249+257.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht-----+122.9
Willem II-----+268.0
Draw-----+257.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Willem II: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 0.0%
Willem II: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Utrecht: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Willem II: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +100 to -105
Willem II ML moved from +271 to +265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½+104o2½+102o2¼-121o2½+101o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-110
Underu2¾-108u2½-122u2½-122u2¼+101u2½-123u2¼+101u2½-122u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 022.92%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Willem II
Exactly 031.07%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.23%
Exactly 38.27%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 050.55%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 211.76%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Willem II
Exactly 058.20%
Exactly 131.50%
Exactly 28.53%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals21.55%
Wins by 3+ goals8.32%
Wins by 4+ goals2.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Willem II
Wins by 2+ goals12.16%
Wins by 3+ goals3.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Willem II
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals13.24%
Wins by 3 goals5.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Willem II
Wins by 1 goal17.87%
Wins by 2 goals8.33%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.07%25.93%
2.549.22%50.78%
3.527.33%72.67%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.08%22.92%
1.543.32%56.68%
2.518.45%81.55%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Willem II Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.93%31.07%
1.532.62%67.38%
2.511.39%88.61%
3.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.58%29.42%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Willem II
Score012345
0
7.12%
8.32%
4.86%
1.90%
0.55%
0.13%
1
10.49%
12.26%
7.17%
2.79%
0.82%
0.19%
2
7.73%
9.03%
5.28%
2.06%
0.60%
0.14%
3
3.79%
4.44%
2.59%
1.01%
0.30%
0.07%
4
1.40%
1.63%
0.96%
0.37%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.41%
0.48%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-010.49%
2-07.73%
2-19.03%
3-03.79%
3-14.44%
3-22.59%
4-01.40%
4-11.63%
4-20.96%
4-30.37%
5-00.41%
5-10.48%
5-20.28%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.12%
1-112.26%
2-25.28%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Willem II
0-18.32%
0-24.86%
1-27.17%
0-31.90%
1-32.79%
2-32.06%
0-40.55%
1-40.82%
2-40.60%
3-40.30%
0-50.13%
1-50.19%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Willem II
Score01234
0
29.42%
15.92%
4.31%
0.78%
0.11%
1
20.07%
10.86%
2.94%
0.53%
0.07%
2
6.85%
3.71%
1.00%
0.18%
0.02%
3
1.56%
0.84%
0.23%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.27%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Utrecht
1-020.07%
2-06.85%
2-13.71%
3-01.56%
3-10.84%
3-20.23%
4-00.27%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-029.42%
1-110.86%
2-21.00%
Willem II
0-115.92%
0-24.31%
1-22.94%
0-30.78%
1-30.53%
2-30.18%
0-40.11%
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