NEC Nijmegen at Groningen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

34.7%28.7%36.6%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawGroningen Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 2

Groningen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 3-3 vs PSV Eindhoven
W 1-4 vs Fortuna Sittard
W 1-0 at Zwolle
L 1-4 at Willem II+115
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam+115
Groningen
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen
L 1-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
T 0-0 vs Almere City

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+165+175+165+155+155+155+170+176.1
Groningen+165+182+185+180+193+180+193+203.1
Draw+215+211+205+200+206+200+211+224.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen-----+176.1
Groningen-----+203.1
Draw-----+224.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Groningen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Groningen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +161 to +155
Groningen ML moved from +156 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2-134o2¼+108o2¼+101o2¼+104o2¼+101o2-134o2¼+110
Underu2½-115u2+114u2¼-128u2¼-121u2¼-126u2¼-121u2¼-121u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.47%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.31%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.63%
Exactly 320.05%
Exactly 55.11%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 032.99%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 031.73%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 38.00%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.17%
Exactly 219.20%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.69%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 059.85%
Exactly 130.72%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 058.78%
Exactly 131.24%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals13.84%
Wins by 3+ goals4.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals15.14%
Wins by 3+ goals4.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal20.74%
Wins by 2 goals9.64%
Wins by 3 goals3.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal21.47%
Wins by 2 goals10.33%
Wins by 3 goals3.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.53%10.47%
1.565.90%34.10%
2.539.24%60.76%
3.519.19%80.81%
4.57.88%92.12%
5.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.01%32.99%
1.530.42%69.58%
2.510.14%89.86%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.27%31.73%
1.531.84%68.16%
2.510.94%89.06%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.83%35.17%
1.528.07%71.93%
2.58.87%91.13%
3.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Score012345
0
10.47%
12.02%
6.90%
2.64%
0.76%
0.17%
1
11.61%
13.33%
7.65%
2.93%
0.84%
0.19%
2
6.44%
7.39%
4.24%
1.62%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.38%
2.73%
1.57%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.66%
0.76%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-011.61%
2-06.44%
2-17.39%
3-02.38%
3-12.73%
3-21.57%
4-00.66%
4-10.76%
4-20.43%
4-30.17%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-010.47%
1-113.33%
2-24.24%
3-30.60%
Groningen
0-112.02%
0-26.90%
1-27.65%
0-32.64%
1-32.93%
2-31.62%
0-40.76%
1-40.84%
2-40.47%
3-40.17%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
Score01234
0
35.17%
18.69%
4.97%
0.88%
0.12%
1
18.06%
9.60%
2.55%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.64%
2.46%
0.65%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.79%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-018.06%
2-04.64%
2-12.46%
3-00.79%
3-10.42%
3-20.11%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-035.17%
1-19.60%
2-20.65%
Groningen
0-118.69%
0-24.97%
1-22.55%
0-30.88%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
Willem II at PSV Eindhoven
Sparta R'dam at Feyenoord