Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam		45.4%
28.7%		25.8%
+165
+172
+160
+170
2
1		-1.01377-1.00761-0.78913
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen		34.9%
37.6%		27.5%
+223
+128
+200
+140
2
1		-1.20902-1.14599-1.05406
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		57.8%
20.0%		22.2%
-119
+346
-120
+330
2
1		-0.64781-0.65682-0.54875
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven		3.7%
87.7%		8.5%
+1559
-588
+1725
-800
0
5		-0.18845-0.16828-0.13080
Heerenveen
Feyenoord		7.6%
79.0%		13.4%
+887
-326
+945
-375
0
3		-0.30297-0.28692-0.23592
RKC Waalwijk
Heracles Almelo		27.5%
46.6%		25.9%
+347
-131
+325
-130
2
2		-1.44515-1.43557-1.35054
Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles		16.1%
62.6%		21.4%
+570
-180
+600
-220
0
3		-0.46001-0.42593-0.46895
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar		9.3%
75.6%		15.1%
+485
-163
+500
-175
2
1		-1.80454-1.84049-2.37483
Ajax
Twente		28.3%
46.1%		25.6%
+143
+191
+145
+175
2
2		-1.29284-1.31908-1.36402
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen		22.1%
54.3%		23.6%
+185
+160
+170
+160
0
1		-0.98054-1.00761-0.61101
Feyenoord
Almere City		69.2%
12.4%		18.5%
-224
+760
-305
+770
4
1		-0.39063-0.33381-0.36863
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk		41.7%
31.1%		27.2%
-103
+290
-115
+300
3
0		-0.71198-0.67598-0.87560
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda		82.2%
6.9%		10.9%
-270
+706
-370
+900
3
0		-0.35432-0.29042-0.19567
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		42.1%
31.7%		26.2%
+185
+157
+165
+170
1
3		-0.98254-1.04276-1.14914
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen		31.5%
41.0%		27.5%
+200
+153
+190
+150
0
1		-0.96202-0.96748-0.89226
Heracles Almelo
Utrecht		10.2%
73.8%		16.1%
+563
-204
+600
-235
0
1		-0.43744-0.40386-0.30446
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.