Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
PostponedGroningen
Ajax 		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+255
-102

0.91
2.09		3.00
o2¾-108
u2¾-105

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Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ajax
Feyenoord		15.2%
65.3%		19.5%
+659
-259
+650
-255
0
6		-0.36091-0.38312-0.42549
NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse		34.5%
37.7%		27.8%
+133
+200
+130
+190
3
0		-0.87743-0.88511-1.06302
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		12.6%
69.7%		17.7%
+700
-241
+660
-245
0
2		-0.38229-0.39322-0.36080
Excelsior
Zwolle		21.8%
53.7%		24.5%
+293
-101
+275
-105
1
2		-0.71362-0.71701-0.62239
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		13.1%
69.5%		17.4%
+610
-233
+600
-240
1
5		-0.39496-0.39978-0.36426
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		19.6%
57.4%		23.0%
+396
-141
+410
-170
2
1		-1.62811-1.68088-1.62796
Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax		9.2%
75.7%		15.0%
+450
-163
+430
-175
1
1		-1.53628-1.54150-1.89459
Almere City
RKC Waalwijk		28.4%
44.6%		27.0%
+256
+110
+250
+110
0
0		-1.30089-1.28884-1.31100
Feyenoord
Volendam		87.0%
3.8%		9.2%
-909
+2046
-900
+1800
0
0		-2.51220-2.38065-2.39021
Twente
Heerenveen		40.7%
32.3%		27.0%
-116
+324
-105
+275
3
3		-1.39562-1.35631-1.30930
Zwolle
Utrecht		15.5%
64.7%		19.8%
+630
-220
+600
-230
1
5		-0.40741-0.41015-0.43575
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		60.0%
18.3%		21.7%
-215
+690
-225
+600
0
5		-2.08586-1.99709-1.69690
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard		25.8%
49.2%		25.0%
+200
+145
+215
+135
1
1		-1.31011-1.22809-1.38613
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior		80.5%
6.8%		12.7%
-625
+1501
-750
+1500
2
0		-0.17941-0.17406-0.21745
Sparta Rotterdam
Vitesse		33.7%
39.1%		27.1%
+137
+195
+140
+185
4
1		-0.90236-0.92352-1.08735
Volendam
Almere City		9.3%
73.6%		17.1%
+680
-236
+700
-260
1
1		-1.61838-1.63928-1.76668
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.