Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Zwolle
Twente		6.4%
81.1%		12.5%
+850
-322
+875
-340
1
1		-1.82753-1.78260-2.08200
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven		4.6%
86.1%		9.4%
+1800
-788
+1850
-900
0
3		-0.15683-0.15537-0.14990
Twente
Utrecht		46.4%
28.2%		25.3%
+152
+184
+140
+190
1
2		-1.07397-1.11480-1.26461
Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II		30.8%
42.6%		26.6%
+137
+207
+135
+195
2
1		-0.89892-0.90342-1.17769
NAC Breda
Heerenveen		7.0%
81.4%		11.6%
+390
-144
+365
-145
0
4		-0.55647-0.57407-0.20573
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard		25.8%
49.2%		25.0%
+227
+125
+225
+120
3
0		-1.21244-1.22946-1.35580
Groningen
Almere City		31.3%
40.1%		28.6%
+114
+253
+115
+235
1
1		-1.30685-1.29044-1.25222
AZ Alkmaar
RKC Waalwijk		56.1%
21.0%		22.8%
-226
+637
-220
+600
3
0		-0.40090-0.42593-0.57761
RKC Waalwijk
Go Ahead Eagles		24.2%
51.4%		24.4%
+373
-141
+360
-145
0
2		-0.56895-0.57348-0.66542
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam		68.1%
13.4%		18.5%
-229
+623
-220
+540
1
1		-1.65921-1.61944-1.68940
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen		52.6%
23.0%		24.3%
+112
+259
+105
+260
0
0		-1.29222-1.30280-1.41342
Utrecht
NAC Breda		62.5%
18.1%		19.4%
+101
+280
-105
+280
2
1		-0.72861-0.71719-0.46967
PSV Eindhoven
Almere City		76.8%
8.6%		14.6%
-551
+1300
-550
+1300
7
1		-0.20190-0.21671-0.26458
Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen		17.3%
61.0%		21.8%
+420
-151
+375
-155
0
1		-0.53169-0.54752-0.49497
Ajax
NAC Breda		74.1%
10.9%		15.0%
-205
+509
-225
+500
1
2		-1.83854-1.83998-2.21972
Feyenoord
Zwolle		77.0%
8.6%		14.4%
-392
+1000
-420
+850
5
1		-0.25929-0.26503-0.26146
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.