Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedGroningen
Ajax 		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+255
-102

0.91
2.09		3.00
o2¾-108
u2¾-105

Games for Nov 29, 2025
Games for Dec 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen		24.6%
50.5%		24.9%
+351
-134
+325
-130
0
3		-0.59222-0.61982-0.68286
Zwolle
Vitesse		14.6%
65.9%		19.4%
+233
+112
+260
+100
1
1		-1.35371-1.34519-1.63753
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles		31.7%
41.6%		26.7%
+247
+106
+240
+105
0
0		-1.36324-1.35919-1.32054
Zwolle
Excelsior		32.3%
39.8%		27.9%
+195
+130
+190
+130
4
2		-1.11541-1.11337-1.13109
Twente
Heracles Almelo		49.0%
25.8%		25.3%
-182
+492
-170
+435
2
2		-1.53996-1.49749-1.37599
Ajax
Utrecht		56.8%
20.7%		22.5%
-106
+278
-115
+275
3
4		-1.36916-1.37200-1.57277
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		9.9%
74.2%		15.8%
+727
-259
+750
-275
0
3		-0.35882-0.35988-0.29785
Vitesse
Feyenoord		9.8%
74.9%		15.4%
+1978
-787
+1500
-690
0
4		-0.15685-0.18494-0.28962
Almere City
NEC Nijmegen		17.0%
60.4%		22.6%
+310
-115
+310
-120
1
1		-1.37015-1.38617-1.48642
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		4.0%
87.6%		8.4%
+1500
-578
+1500
-800
1
3		-0.18242-0.16790-0.13214
Volendam
RKC Waalwijk		16.0%
62.6%		21.3%
+340
-134
+365
-160
1
2		-0.58686-0.53450-0.46769
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		60.7%
18.4%		20.9%
-264
+700
-275
+650
4
0		-0.35672-0.35750-0.49954
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		56.0%
21.2%		22.7%
-130
+348
-135
+340
3
0		-0.60947-0.60475-0.57962
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		18.5%
60.2%		21.3%
+167
+158
+165
+145
2
1		-1.01539-1.02544-1.68929
Feyenoord
Zwolle		69.8%
12.5%		17.7%
-348
+950
-360
+880
2
0		-0.28047-0.29516-0.35906
Excelsior
Vitesse		11.0%
71.5%		17.5%
+340
-124
+330
-140
0
0		-1.42234-1.48766-1.74263
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.