Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
25.8%
49.2%
25.0%
+200
+145
+215
+135
1
1
-1.31011-1.22809-1.38613
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
80.5%
6.8%
12.7%
-625
+1501
-750
+1500
2
0
-0.17941-0.17406-0.21745
Sparta Rotterdam
Vitesse
33.7%
39.1%
27.1%
+137
+195
+140
+185
4
1
-0.90236-0.92352-1.08735
Volendam
Almere City
9.3%
73.6%
17.1%
+680
-236
+700
-260
1
1
-1.61838-1.63928-1.76668
Heracles Almelo
Twente
8.3%
77.1%
14.6%
+1301
-465
+1350
-550
0
1
-0.22999-0.21609-0.26066
Utrecht
Feyenoord
6.8%
81.0%
12.2%
+890
-325
+850
-350
2
4
-0.30511-0.29982-0.21121
Ajax
Zwolle
61.9%
17.1%
21.0%
-164
+445
-180
+450
3
1
-0.50508-0.49248-0.48036
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
7.5%
79.2%
13.3%
+1274
-435
+1225
-500
0
2
-0.23623-0.23270-0.23380
Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk
39.1%
33.6%
27.3%
+144
+187
+140
+190
1
1
-1.32648-1.28844-1.29938
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
17.1%
61.0%
21.9%
+524
-196
+520
-210
0
3
-0.44552-0.43967-0.49415
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
28.0%
46.6%
25.3%
+235
+127
+225
+125
0
4
-0.84908-0.86034-0.76308
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
69.4%
12.8%
17.8%
-257
+780
-275
+625
1
3
-2.19328-2.02966-2.05409
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
12.0%
71.3%
16.8%
+643
-247
+625
-250
0
1
-0.37442-0.38737-0.33874
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
49.5%
25.6%
24.9%
+121
+235
+115
+230
2
2
-1.30320-1.31557-1.39078
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
64.6%
15.6%
19.8%
-240
+650
-245
+590
3
2
-0.38299-0.39402-0.43737
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
20.6%
56.4%
23.0%
+273
+108
+280
-105
0
1
-0.75496-0.71719-0.57185
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.