Ajax at Sparta R'dam

Updated

Ajax

49.5%24.9%25.6%
Ajax WinDrawSparta R'dam Win
1.60Projected Goals 1.08
2Final Score 2

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-190
W 0-2 vs Utrecht+100
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+290
T 2-2 vs NEC Nijmegen-205
L 2-3 at Heerenveen-120
Sparta Rotterdam
Money Line
L 1-2 at Twente+675
T 1-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+270
L 0-2 at NEC Nijmegen+260
W 2-4 vs Excelsior-115
L 0-2 at Feyenoord+1050

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+115+121+120+118+118+118+121+128.5
Sparta R'dam+225+225+215+225+235+225+235+240.6
Draw+235+257+235+255+252+255+257+272.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+100----+115+115+128.5
Sparta R'dam+260----+230+230+240.6
Draw+270----+255+255+272.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +117 to +110
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +247 to +235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 20.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Sparta R'dam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Ajax ML
Sparta R'dam ML moved from +250 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3+117o2¾-112o2¾-113o2¾-112o2¾-113o2¾-112o2¾-103
Underu3-110u3-137u2¾-108u2¾-107u2¾-106u2¾-107u3-137u2¾+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-103
Under-----u2¾+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.84%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 414.76%
Exactly 63.54%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.34%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 57.92%
Exactly 71.36%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 020.12%
Exactly 132.26%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 313.83%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 033.98%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.88%
Exactly 222.28%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 047.59%
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 213.12%
Exactly 33.25%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sparta Rotterdam
Exactly 060.67%
Exactly 130.32%
Exactly 27.58%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals25.89%
Wins by 3+ goals10.79%
Wins by 4+ goals3.68%
Wins by 5+ goals1.04%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 2+ goals9.60%
Wins by 3+ goals2.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.62%
Wins by 2 goals15.09%
Wins by 3 goals7.12%
Wins by 4 goals2.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.80%
Sparta Rotterdam
Wins by 1 goal15.89%
Wins by 2 goals6.83%
Wins by 3 goals2.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.16%6.84%
1.574.82%25.18%
2.550.22%49.78%
3.528.21%71.79%
4.513.46%86.54%
5.55.54%94.46%
6.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.88%20.12%
1.547.62%52.38%
2.521.76%78.24%
3.57.93%92.07%
4.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Sparta Rotterdam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.02%33.98%
1.529.34%70.66%
2.59.55%90.45%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.12%28.88%
1.535.26%64.74%
2.512.98%87.02%
3.53.75%96.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Score01234
0
6.84%
7.38%
3.98%
1.43%
0.39%
1
10.96%
11.83%
6.39%
2.30%
0.62%
2
8.79%
9.49%
5.12%
1.84%
0.50%
3
4.70%
5.07%
2.74%
0.98%
0.27%
4
1.88%
2.03%
1.10%
0.39%
0.11%
5
0.60%
0.65%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
Ajax
1-010.96%
2-08.79%
2-19.49%
3-04.70%
3-15.07%
3-22.74%
4-01.88%
4-12.03%
4-21.10%
4-30.39%
5-00.60%
5-10.65%
5-20.35%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.84%
1-111.83%
2-25.12%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-17.38%
0-23.98%
1-26.39%
0-31.43%
1-32.30%
2-31.84%
0-40.39%
1-40.62%
2-40.50%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Score0123
0
28.88%
14.43%
3.61%
0.60%
1
21.44%
10.71%
2.68%
0.45%
2
7.96%
3.98%
0.99%
0.17%
3
1.97%
0.98%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.37%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
Ajax
1-021.44%
2-07.96%
2-13.98%
3-01.97%
3-10.98%
3-20.25%
4-00.37%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-028.88%
1-110.71%
2-20.99%
Sparta Rotterdam
0-114.43%
0-23.61%
1-22.68%
0-30.60%
1-30.45%
2-30.17%