Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Groningen 		40.5%
32.7%		26.8%
+128
+200

1.34
1.17		2.51
o2¾-126
u3-125

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+575
-256

0.97
2.32		3.29
o3¼-140
u3½-108

Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+148
+175

1.33
1.12		2.45
o2¾-116
u2¾-102

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen		26.4%
47.9%		25.7%
+215
+126
+175
+135
1
1		-1.31796-1.38601-1.35864
Volendam
AZ Alkmaar		4.1%
86.1%		9.8%
+1505
-552
+1450
-635
0
3		-0.19479-0.19473-0.15001
Heracles Almelo
Almere City		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+295
-110
+255
-105
5
0		-1.41646-1.31602-0.94487
RKC Waalwijk
Zwolle		26.5%
48.2%		25.3%
+269
+105
+260
+100
2
1		-1.33078-1.33139-1.32829
Vitesse
Ajax		6.8%
80.7%		12.6%
+739
-300
+765
-335
0
5		-0.31898-0.31229-0.21489
PSV Eindhoven
Twente		38.6%
35.0%		26.4%
+107
+265
+105
+240
3
0		-0.75241-0.76873-0.95225
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen		19.8%
58.1%		22.2%
+315
-101
+285
-105
0
3		-0.71535-0.72128-0.54371
Feyenoord
Excelsior		52.8%
22.8%		24.4%
-487
+1157
-475
+1050
4
2		-0.22269-0.24077-0.63887
Excelsior
Utrecht		23.3%
52.1%		24.6%
+488
-170
+430
-175
2
2		-1.52924-1.53262-1.34281
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord		23.3%
53.4%		23.3%
+555
-202
+550
-220
0
1		-0.43634-0.42318-0.62792
Sparta Rotterdam
Volendam		49.9%
24.4%		25.7%
+125
+209
+125
+195
4
1		-0.84169-0.85982-0.69431
Ajax
Almere City		78.3%
7.5%		14.2%
-185
+445
-185
+425
2
2		-1.57484-1.59860-1.95447
Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven		4.3%
86.5%		9.1%
+2674
-1252
+2300
-1100
0
4		-0.11236-0.13509-0.14484
Heerenveen
Vitesse		28.0%
46.4%		25.6%
+210
+136
+195
+135
3
1		-1.17022-1.13082-1.27207
NEC Nijmegen
Twente		9.4%
74.6%		16.0%
+801
-285
+825
-320
3
3		-1.72216-1.75527-1.83183
Go Ahead Eagles
RKC Waalwijk		31.8%
41.7%		26.6%
+120
+219
+120
+210
1
0		-0.82255-0.83829-1.14677
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28017 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42591
-0.14574

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.