Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
RKC Waalwijk
Feyenoord		4.6%
85.7%		9.7%
+1800
-713
+2000
-1000
0
1		-0.16555-0.14385-0.15459
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax		9.6%
74.5%		15.9%
+454
-183
+470
-205
2
2		-1.60346-1.63959-1.83602
Volendam
Vitesse		16.1%
62.6%		21.3%
+475
-168
+430
-165
1
1		-1.48417-1.47412-1.54618
Utrecht
Twente		14.7%
66.0%		19.3%
+400
-145
+395
-150
1
0		-1.64512-1.65010-1.91807
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen		21.6%
55.2%		23.3%
+302
-103
+280
-110
2
0		-1.41663-1.38390-1.53363
Almere City
Zwolle		26.0%
47.7%		26.2%
+236
+125
+255
+115
1
0		-1.24337-1.31557-1.34557
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam		12.7%
68.1%		19.2%
+300
-103
+315
-115
2
4		-0.70577-0.67433-0.38422
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		52.2%
24.1%		23.7%
-119
+403
-120
+375
2
1		-0.63667-0.65502-0.64936
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven		3.7%
88.1%		8.2%
+2373
-1200
+2000
-1350
0
2		-0.11769-0.12285-0.12705
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		6.0%
82.4%		11.6%
+1205
-448
+1050
-460
0
2		-0.23399-0.24669-0.19334
PSV Eindhoven
Volendam		84.4%
5.1%		10.6%
-817
+2200
-1000
+1900
5
1		-0.14009-0.14410-0.16988
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht		21.1%
56.7%		22.3%
+462
-147
+410
-145
0
4		-0.54675-0.57433-0.56826
Ajax
Heerenveen		47.9%
26.9%		25.2%
-108
+261
-120
+265
2
3		-1.31052-1.34542-1.31286
Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles		20.9%
56.1%		23.0%
+348
-130
+345
-140
1
1		-1.44282-1.46162-1.46902
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo		26.5%
48.1%		25.3%
+231
+125
+240
+110
2
3		-0.83880-0.79264-0.73106
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City		59.9%
17.9%		22.2%
-140
+432
-140
+385
0
0		-1.35305-1.39614-1.50436
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.