Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Groningen 		40.5%
32.7%		26.8%
+134
+200

1.34
1.17		2.51
o3+102
u3-121

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+550
-238

0.97
2.32		3.29
o3½-118
u3¾-123

Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+144
+180

1.33
1.12		2.45
o2¾-112
u3-140

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard		27.2%
47.7%		25.1%
+386
-138
+340
-135
1
4		-0.58304-0.60475-0.74055
Heerenveen
Ajax		6.6%
80.9%		12.5%
+625
-247
+575
-260
1
4		-0.37427-0.37629-0.21165
Almere City
Sparta Rotterdam		12.5%
68.3%		19.1%
+370
-142
+360
-145
2
1		-1.59297-1.57504-2.07561
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		24.9%
50.9%		24.1%
+219
+126
+215
+120
0
2		-0.85308-0.83704-0.67444
Volendam
NEC Nijmegen		14.6%
64.3%		21.1%
+449
-174
+425
-170
3
3		-1.54099-1.51896-1.55675
Twente
Utrecht		39.5%
33.7%		26.8%
-115
+314
-145
+375
1
1		-1.37381-1.44681-1.31714
Vitesse
Go Ahead Eagles		34.0%
39.2%		26.9%
+270
+102
+275
-110
1
5		-0.73597-0.69563-0.93769
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior		71.6%
11.0%		17.4%
-264
+750
-275
+690
1
1		-1.73659-1.70738-1.75037
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk		66.5%
14.4%		19.1%
-523
+1400
-540
+1250
2
1		-0.20565-0.21979-0.40797
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles Almelo		63.9%
16.2%		19.9%
-427
+1050
-525
+1050
6
0		-0.24137-0.22501-0.44815
Volendam
Ajax		3.0%
89.1%		7.9%
+1025
-415
+935
-440
0
2		-0.24838-0.25576-0.11541
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar		7.6%
78.4%		13.9%
+1020
-351
+950
-375
2
1		-2.44958-2.40141-2.57348
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		28.6%
46.6%		24.7%
+850
-335
+900
-375
2
5		-0.29797-0.28467-0.76316
Excelsior
Volendam		28.6%
43.3%		28.1%
+155
+163
+155
+155
1
3		-1.00190-0.98583-0.83686
Feyenoord
Twente		34.4%
38.8%		26.8%
+105
+254
-105
+265
1
2		-1.29634-1.34623-0.94577
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		48.1%
27.3%		24.5%
+203
+134
+200
+125
0
0		-1.30320-1.34519-1.40560
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28017 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42591
-0.14574

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.