Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Utrecht
Excelsior		56.6%
20.1%		23.2%
+120
+224
+120
+205
1
1		-1.34323-1.36967-1.46007
Sparta Rotterdam
RKC Waalwijk		36.6%
35.6%		27.8%
+213
+132
+200
+130
1
1		-1.29248-1.31557-1.28010
Almere City
PSV Eindhoven		3.7%
87.8%		8.5%
+2100
-1000
+2500
-1450
0
2		-0.14389-0.11631-0.12970
Vitesse
Zwolle		32.8%
40.4%		26.8%
+239
+119
+230
+110
0
1		-0.80916-0.79025-0.90585
Fortuna Sittard
Almere City		33.4%
39.0%		27.6%
+212
+145
+200
+140
0
0		-1.25671-1.25632-1.28688
RKC Waalwijk
Ajax		8.3%
77.3%		14.4%
+850
-327
+875
-400
1
4		-0.29498-0.27261-0.25766
Go Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam		17.1%
61.7%		21.2%
+197
+139
+195
+130
2
0		-1.11721-1.13206-1.76633
Feyenoord
Vitesse		63.2%
16.6%		20.2%
-568
+1476
-550
+1300
2
1		-0.19653-0.21757-0.45959
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		65.9%
15.3%		18.8%
-264
+700
-280
+655
1
1		-1.73631-1.74703-1.67185
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar		5.9%
82.5%		11.6%
+772
-296
+750
-315
2
2		-1.79186-1.79854-2.15529
Volendam
Heracles Almelo		14.6%
64.5%		20.8%
+404
-145
+385
-150
1
1		-1.42766-1.45985-1.56964
Twente
NEC Nijmegen		53.8%
22.1%		24.2%
-107
+295
-115
+300
0
1		-1.40507-1.43658-1.51109
Heerenveen
Excelsior		54.1%
21.6%		24.3%
+125
+218
+115
+220
0
3		-1.18705-1.21345-1.53401
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord		6.5%
80.9%		12.6%
+1639
-684
+1750
-850
2
2		-2.27643-2.35031-2.07155
Utrecht
Vitesse		35.7%
37.5%		26.8%
+130
+207
+130
+200
0
0		-1.33465-1.31557-1.31580
Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles		58.3%
19.6%		22.1%
-124
+315
-120
+285
3
2		-0.62293-0.65693-0.53935
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.