Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+575
-238

0.97
2.32		3.29
o3½-122
u3¾-121

Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+140
+173

1.33
1.12		2.45
o2¾-115
u2¾-102

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Ajax
Groningen 		40.5%
32.7%		26.8%
+134
+190

2.51
o3+102
u3-121

2nd H
77:00		1
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
Almere City		39.0%
33.0%		28.0%
+135
+204
+130
+200
0
0		-1.30250-1.30523-1.27200
RKC Waalwijk
Sparta Rotterdam		18.3%
59.7%		21.9%
+349
-127
+330
-125
0
2		-0.61863-0.63779-0.51552
Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen		24.6%
50.5%		24.9%
+351
-134
+325
-130
0
3		-0.59222-0.61982-0.68286
Zwolle
Vitesse		14.6%
65.9%		19.4%
+233
+112
+260
+100
1
1		-1.35371-1.34519-1.63753
Sparta Rotterdam
Go Ahead Eagles		31.7%
41.6%		26.7%
+247
+106
+240
+105
0
0		-1.36324-1.35919-1.32054
Zwolle
Excelsior		32.3%
39.8%		27.9%
+195
+130
+190
+130
4
2		-1.11541-1.11337-1.13109
Twente
Heracles Almelo		49.0%
25.8%		25.3%
-182
+492
-170
+435
2
2		-1.53996-1.49749-1.37599
Ajax
Utrecht		56.8%
20.7%		22.5%
-106
+278
-115
+275
3
4		-1.36916-1.37200-1.57277
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		9.9%
74.2%		15.8%
+727
-259
+750
-275
0
3		-0.35882-0.35988-0.29785
Vitesse
Feyenoord		9.8%
74.9%		15.4%
+1978
-787
+1500
-690
0
4		-0.15685-0.18494-0.28962
Almere City
NEC Nijmegen		17.0%
60.4%		22.6%
+310
-115
+310
-120
1
1		-1.37015-1.38617-1.48642
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		4.0%
87.6%		8.4%
+1500
-578
+1500
-800
1
3		-0.18242-0.16790-0.13214
Volendam
RKC Waalwijk		16.0%
62.6%		21.3%
+340
-134
+365
-160
1
2		-0.58686-0.53450-0.46769
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		60.7%
18.4%		20.9%
-264
+700
-275
+650
4
0		-0.35672-0.35750-0.49954
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		56.0%
21.2%		22.7%
-130
+348
-135
+340
3
0		-0.60947-0.60475-0.57962
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		18.5%
60.2%		21.3%
+167
+158
+165
+145
2
1		-1.01539-1.02544-1.68929
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28017 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42591
-0.14574

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.