Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+600
-250

0.97
2.32		3.29
o3½-102
u3½-115

Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+140
+180

1.33
1.12		2.45
o2¾-118
u2¾+100

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		18.5%
60.2%		21.3%
+167
+158
+165
+145
2
1		-1.01539-1.02544-1.68929
Feyenoord
Zwolle		69.8%
12.5%		17.7%
-348
+950
-360
+880
2
0		-0.28047-0.29516-0.35906
Excelsior
Vitesse		11.0%
71.5%		17.5%
+340
-124
+330
-140
0
0		-1.42234-1.48766-1.74263
Heracles Almelo
Go Ahead Eagles		28.8%
45.1%		26.1%
+312
-120
+305
-125
0
4		-0.64122-0.63892-0.79722
RKC Waalwijk
Almere City		34.7%
36.9%		28.4%
+200
+130
+180
+130
0
1		-0.87058-0.88329-0.99785
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen		21.0%
55.2%		23.8%
+265
+112
+240
+110
1
1		-1.29189-1.31763-1.43729
Utrecht
Volendam		56.5%
20.2%		23.2%
-124
+310
-120
+280
0
1		-1.44486-1.38617-1.59870
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar		5.5%
83.8%		10.7%
+750
-245
+775
-300
0
4		-0.36970-0.33763-0.17668
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior		46.2%
27.0%		26.7%
+130
+225
+115
+230
1
2		-1.20644-1.24258-1.30826
Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen		35.2%
37.0%		27.8%
+237
+120
+230
+110
3
1		-1.24206-1.24223-1.04370
Heerenveen
Twente		16.0%
63.6%		20.5%
+944
-300
+750
-300
0
1		-0.31269-0.33596-0.45317
Volendam
PSV Eindhoven		3.1%
89.2%		7.7%
+3787
-2676
+3000
-2750
1
3		-0.07592-0.08432-0.11458
Almere City
Utrecht		10.0%
73.5%		16.5%
+490
-185
+475
-185
2
0		-1.82486-1.79830-2.30339
Go Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord		6.9%
80.6%		12.5%
+1500
-603
+1450
-650
1
3		-0.18740-0.19280-0.21617
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar		9.1%
75.7%		15.2%
+1200
-413
+1050
-430
1
1		-1.97660-1.92916-1.88466
Vitesse
Twente		18.3%
60.2%		21.6%
+785
-270
+800
-300
0
1		-0.35095-0.33798-0.50830
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.18980 
Sportsbooks20-0-1 (0.750)2 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.27224
-0.08244

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.