Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Almere City
Volendam		37.0%
33.5%		29.5%
+143
+182
+140
+180
1
0		-0.92364-0.92576-0.99358
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven		2.4%
91.4%		6.2%
+3500
-1792
+3000
-2200
1
3		-0.09283-0.09446-0.08971
Heerenveen
Zwolle		40.8%
32.2%		27.0%
+130
+218
+125
+220
2
2		-1.30959-1.31505-1.30933
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		30.8%
42.9%		26.3%
+337
-115
+325
-120
1
2		-0.65772-0.65589-0.84607
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard		33.3%
39.9%		26.8%
+218
+140
+210
+135
2
0		-1.18695-1.18127-1.10066
Heracles Almelo
RKC Waalwijk		25.5%
49.3%		25.2%
+295
+101
+310
-115
2
1		-1.39881-1.45887-1.36743
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar		42.3%
32.3%		25.4%
-120
+321
-120
+315
4
0		-0.63679-0.65452-0.85972
Zwolle
Ajax		5.0%
84.6%		10.5%
+1075
-429
+1000
-475
2
2		-2.04392-2.06404-2.25637
Feyenoord
Heracles Almelo		64.0%
15.8%		20.1%
-485
+1217
-500
+1100
4
0		-0.21701-0.23110-0.44552
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		40.3%
32.6%		27.1%
-112
+331
-125
+340
2
2		-1.34243-1.36008-1.30571
Vitesse
Almere City		38.0%
34.0%		28.0%
+230
+122
+210
+130
0
5		-0.83055-0.88312-1.07793
Volendam
Heerenveen		10.0%
73.0%		17.0%
+998
-386
+1100
-425
2
1		-2.42906-2.53527-2.29879
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior		44.1%
29.0%		26.9%
+130
+198
+130
+190
1
1		-1.37188-1.35701-1.31360
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht		20.2%
57.5%		22.3%
+350
-127
+350
-130
1
1		-1.42312-1.38438-1.49893
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen		27.2%
47.2%		25.6%
+300
-103
+280
-105
1
4		-0.70719-0.71719-0.75092
Heracles Almelo
Vitesse		20.3%
56.9%		22.8%
+225
+121
+220
+120
0
2		-0.82949-0.83605-0.56440
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.