Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+340
-140

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3-112
u3¼-140

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-129
+340

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-112
u3¼-138

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+224
+110

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-118
u2¾-101

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-115
+310

2.24
1.24		3.48
o2½-135
u2¾-108

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+775
-323

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3½-118
u3¾-129

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+575
-238

3.29
o3½-105
u3½-112

2nd H
46:00		1
1
Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+131
+190

2.45
o2¾-122
u2¾+102

1st H
06:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven		5.8%
83.3%		10.9%
+1535
-648
+1350
-700
0
3		-0.17061-0.18159-0.18258
AZ Alkmaar
Zwolle		66.1%
14.6%		19.3%
-134
+360
-140
+360
3
0		-0.59675-0.58848-0.41390
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		49.5%
25.5%		25.0%
-192
+505
-215
+530
0
1		-1.83502-1.89107-1.36575
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam		28.4%
45.7%		25.9%
+264
+110
+250
+105
0
1		-0.77249-0.76787-0.78248
Excelsior
Heerenveen		12.7%
68.1%		19.2%
+391
-150
+390
-160
3
0		-1.62425-1.63995-2.06066
PSV Eindhoven
Almere City		77.7%
8.2%		14.1%
-480
+1200
-550
+1225
4
0		-0.23265-0.21647-0.25226
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen		38.6%
34.1%		27.3%
+200
+146
+190
+140
0
3		-0.92538-0.92553-1.07581
Heracles Almelo
Volendam		46.2%
27.0%		26.8%
+135
+195
+125
+190
2
2		-1.35243-1.38609-1.31528
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles		18.8%
59.6%		21.5%
+207
+130
+210
+120
0
3		-0.86322-0.83829-0.51726
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		10.4%
73.2%		16.3%
+579
-194
+555
-210
0
2		-0.45209-0.44044-0.31155
Ajax
Twente		48.3%
26.6%		25.1%
+189
+142
+160
+155
1
3		-0.92012-0.98559-1.32407
Almere City
Excelsior		26.6%
46.0%		27.4%
+235
+105
+205
+115
0
0		-1.40279-1.39946-1.29576
Go Ahead Eagles
Zwolle		33.1%
39.6%		27.3%
+195
+140
+190
+140
1
1		-1.29740-1.28844-1.29927
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo		34.2%
38.7%		27.1%
+152
+175
+145
+175
3
1		-0.96179-0.94819-1.07303
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven		5.6%
83.2%		11.2%
+1518
-617
+1350
-635
0
4		-0.18431-0.19558-0.18357
Volendam
Fortuna Sittard		19.6%
57.6%		22.8%
+572
-215
+415
-170
1
3		-0.41476-0.51243-0.55107
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.09943 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.11856
-0.01913

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.