Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 26 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
12/10/2023 01:30 PM	RKC Waalwijk Fortuna Sittard	26.3% 48.9%	24.8%	+252 +112 +260 +105	0 1	-0.78220-0.76787	-0.71464
12/10/2023 11:15 AM	Utrecht Go Ahead Eagles	34.0% 39.3%	26.7%	+208 +136 +225 +115	2 0	-1.15534-1.22803	-1.07843
12/09/2023 08:00 PM	Almere City AZ Alkmaar	4.8% 84.5%	10.7%	+1140 -440 +1225 -500	1 4	-0.25181-0.23270	-0.16849
12/09/2023 07:00 PM	NEC Nijmegen Zwolle	31.5% 41.2%	27.2%	+230 +116 +215 +120	3 1	-1.22885-1.19600	-1.15528
12/09/2023 05:45 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Ajax	10.4% 73.2%	16.4%	+647 -256 +650 -280	1 2	-0.36236-0.35608	-0.31181
12/08/2023 07:00 PM	Excelsior Twente	11.2% 70.8%	18.0%	+1032 -388 +950 -400	2 4	-0.26039-0.27335	-0.34534
12/07/2023 08:00 PM	Volendam Feyenoord	3.6% 87.5%	8.9%	+3500 -1958 +2740 -1600	1 3	-0.08877-0.10985	-0.13351
12/07/2023 05:45 PM	Heerenveen PSV Eindhoven	7.9% 78.7%	13.3%	+1250 -522 +1350 -650	0 2	-0.20575-0.19502	-0.23936
12/03/2023 03:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar Utrecht	50.7% 25.1%	24.1%	-109 +335 -120 +335	1 1	-1.31580-1.34289	-1.42126
12/03/2023 01:30 PM	Ajax NEC Nijmegen	64.1% 15.4%	20.5%	-107 +279 -140 +330	2 1	-0.68080-0.58891	-0.44396
12/03/2023 01:30 PM	Twente Go Ahead Eagles	54.2% 22.3%	23.5%	+103 +268 -105 +275	3 1	-0.73789-0.71701	-0.61312
12/03/2023 11:15 AM	PSV Eindhoven Feyenoord	30.2% 44.9%	24.9%	+236 +110 +200 +120	2 1	-1.24109-1.14841	-1.19604
12/02/2023 08:00 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Heracles Almelo	37.5% 34.6%	27.8%	+166 +165 +160 +155	1 0	-1.00745-1.00501	-0.98043
12/02/2023 07:00 PM	Excelsior RKC Waalwijk	29.1% 43.8%	27.0%	+268 +105 +260 -105	2 2	-1.36328-1.39659	-1.30774
12/02/2023 07:00 PM	Vitesse Fortuna Sittard	32.2% 41.5%	26.2%	+275 +106 +265 +100	1 3	-0.74627-0.74360	-0.87866
12/02/2023 05:45 PM	Zwolle Volendam	35.1% 36.3%	28.7%	+145 +183 +145 +170	5 0	-0.92047-0.94727	-1.04825

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.