Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+340
-140

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3-112
u3¼-138

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-129
+340

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-112
u3¼-134

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+224
+110

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-118
u2¾+100

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-117
+310

2.24
1.24		3.48
o2¾-112
u2¾-107

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+775
-303

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3½-118
u3¾-129

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+131
+190

2.45
o2¾-122
u2¾+102

2nd H
82:00		2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Volendam
Fortuna Sittard		19.6%
57.6%		22.8%
+572
-215
+415
-170
1
3		-0.41476-0.51243-0.55107
RKC Waalwijk
Vitesse		16.8%
62.5%		20.7%
+500
-184
+460
-190
2
0		-1.82741-1.77490-1.78588
Heerenveen
Feyenoord		8.5%
77.2%		14.3%
+1400
-565
+1150
-475
1
6		-0.19783-0.24182-0.25884
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse		51.9%
24.1%		24.0%
+142
+190
+135
+190
2
0		-0.92352-0.90515-0.65576
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard		87.5%
3.9%		8.6%
-154
+399
-200
+480
0
0		-1.50436-1.60654-2.45457
Twente
Volendam		59.4%
18.0%		22.6%
-215
+553
-190
+460
2
0		-0.42053-0.47499-0.52044
Feyenoord
Utrecht		49.8%
25.9%		24.3%
-135
+350
-135
+320
5
1		-0.59016-0.60373-0.69505
Excelsior
Heracles Almelo		13.8%
65.9%		20.3%
+350
-124
+345
-130
1
3		-0.61930-0.61902-0.41724
PSV Eindhoven
RKC Waalwijk		67.8%
14.0%		18.2%
-355
+900
-375
+875
4
0		-0.28377-0.28711-0.38806
Heerenveen
Go Ahead Eagles		27.1%
47.4%		25.5%
+265
+103
+235
+105
2
3		-0.74282-0.76613-0.74750
Zwolle
Almere City		31.6%
40.5%		27.9%
+135
+190
+135
+190
2
1		-0.89924-0.90515-1.15299
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam		23.1%
51.7%		25.2%
+261
+104
+275
-110
1
1		-1.35507-1.38721-1.37968
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		27.2%
46.7%		26.1%
+214
+123
+210
+120
3
1		-1.17519-1.18123-1.30059
Almere City
Feyenoord		4.8%
84.7%		10.5%
+1551
-725
+1550
-725
1
6		-0.17845-0.17848-0.16644
Utrecht
Zwolle		41.0%
32.4%		26.6%
+140
+191
+130
+185
0
1		-1.08800-1.09832-1.12673
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior		27.4%
46.8%		25.8%
+146
+186
+140
+180
2
2		-1.33041-1.33124-1.35542
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.74604 
Sportsbooks20-0-0 (0.500)2 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.75654
-0.01050

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.