Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/11/2023 07:00 PM	NEC Nijmegen Twente	9.4% 74.6%	16.0%	+801 -285 +825 -320	3 3	-1.72216-1.75527	-1.83183
11/11/2023 05:45 PM	Go Ahead Eagles RKC Waalwijk	31.8% 41.7%	26.6%	+120 +219 +120 +210	1 0	-0.82255-0.83829	-1.14677
11/10/2023 07:00 PM	Heracles Almelo Fortuna Sittard	27.2% 47.7%	25.1%	+386 -138 +340 -135	1 4	-0.58304-0.60475	-0.74055
11/05/2023 03:45 PM	Heerenveen Ajax	6.6% 80.9%	12.5%	+625 -247 +575 -260	1 4	-0.37427-0.37629	-0.21165
11/05/2023 03:45 PM	Almere City Sparta Rotterdam	12.5% 68.3%	19.1%	+370 -142 +360 -145	2 1	-1.59297-1.57504	-2.07561
11/05/2023 01:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Zwolle	24.9% 50.9%	24.1%	+219 +126 +215 +120	0 2	-0.85308-0.83704	-0.67444
11/05/2023 01:30 PM	Volendam NEC Nijmegen	14.6% 64.3%	21.1%	+449 -174 +425 -170	3 3	-1.54099-1.51896	-1.55675
11/05/2023 11:15 AM	Twente Utrecht	39.5% 33.7%	26.8%	-115 +314 -145 +375	1 1	-1.37381-1.44681	-1.31714
11/04/2023 08:00 PM	Vitesse Go Ahead Eagles	34.0% 39.2%	26.9%	+270 +102 +275 -110	1 5	-0.73597-0.69563	-0.93769
11/04/2023 05:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar Excelsior	71.6% 11.0%	17.4%	-264 +750 -275 +690	1 1	-1.73659-1.70738	-1.75037
11/04/2023 05:45 PM	Feyenoord RKC Waalwijk	66.5% 14.4%	19.1%	-523 +1400 -540 +1250	2 1	-0.20565-0.21979	-0.40797
11/04/2023 03:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven Heracles Almelo	63.9% 16.2%	19.9%	-427 +1050 -525 +1050	6 0	-0.24137-0.22501	-0.44815
11/02/2023 07:00 PM	Volendam Ajax	3.0% 89.1%	7.9%	+1025 -415 +935 -440	0 2	-0.24838-0.25576	-0.11541
10/29/2023 03:45 PM	NEC Nijmegen AZ Alkmaar	7.6% 78.4%	13.9%	+1020 -351 +950 -375	2 1	-2.44958-2.40141	-2.57348
10/29/2023 01:30 PM	Ajax PSV Eindhoven	28.6% 46.6%	24.7%	+850 -335 +900 -375	2 5	-0.29797-0.28467	-0.76316
10/29/2023 01:30 PM	Excelsior Volendam	28.6% 43.3%	28.1%	+155 +163 +155 +155	1 3	-1.00190-0.98583	-0.83686

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.