Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+325
-134

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3¼-101
u3¼-118

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-140
+370

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-115
u3¼-135

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+195
+137

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-115
u2¾-101

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-116
+310

2.24
1.24		3.48
o2¾-112
u2¾-106

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+800
-333

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3½-110
u3¾-132

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles		17.6%
61.7%		20.7%
+343
-120
+315
-120
0
2		-0.63529-0.65452-0.48344
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		12.2%
69.9%		17.9%
+716
-232
+585
-210
3
3		-1.59623-1.53104-1.72003
Excelsior
Vitesse		14.4%
65.7%		19.9%
+580
-227
+580
-230
0
0		-1.65789-1.63624-1.61299
Emmen
Heerenveen		15.7%
64.4%		20.0%
+458
-145
+420
-145
3
2		-1.74824-1.69489-1.85361
Cambuur
Volendam		28.9%
46.0%		25.1%
+359
-128
+355
-145
0
2		-0.59014-0.57576-0.77594
RKC Waalwijk
Go Ahead Eagles		21.2%
55.2%		23.6%
+279
-102
+280
-105
2
3		-0.70883-0.71719-0.59426
Emmen
Ajax		2.5%
91.1%		6.3%
+2316
-827
+2000
-950
1
3		-0.14033-0.14881-0.09275
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		66.6%
14.6%		18.7%
-139
+420
-140
+365
3
0		-0.56259-0.58625-0.40626
Feyenoord
Cambuur		80.7%
7.4%		11.9%
-429
+1250
-475
+1100
3
0		-0.23223-0.24010-0.21456
PSV Eindhoven
Volendam		80.5%
6.8%		12.6%
-363
+881
-385
+870
3
2		-0.27193-0.28154-0.21654
Twente
Utrecht		38.4%
34.6%		27.0%
+120
+247
+120
+220
0
1		-1.26372-1.21456-1.06036
Vitesse
NEC Nijmegen		29.2%
44.2%		26.7%
+220
+133
+225
+120
4
1		-1.19017-1.22946-1.23172
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam		30.1%
43.0%		26.8%
+215
+146
+210
+130
0
4		-0.91980-0.88312-0.84339
Groningen
RKC Waalwijk		25.0%
48.6%		26.4%
+300
+101
+295
-110
1
2		-0.71576-0.69631-0.72093
Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior		39.7%
32.3%		28.0%
+140
+197
+130
+195
1
2		-1.12074-1.13206-1.13038
RKC Waalwijk
Feyenoord		4.6%
85.5%		9.9%
+1729
-590
+1400
-650
1
5		-0.17894-0.19283-0.15691
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.78764 
Sportsbooks30-0-0 (0.500)3 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.79824
-0.01060

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.