Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+325
-128

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3-134
u3¼-112

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-145
+400

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-115
u3¼-135

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+195
+137

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-118
u2¾-101

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-116
+310

2.24
1.24		3.48
o2¾-114
u2¾-105

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+800
-333

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3½-111
u3½-108

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		2.5%
91.4%		6.2%
+1606
-640
+1650
-850
0
4		-0.16601-0.16180-0.09027
NEC Nijmegen
Emmen		34.2%
38.0%		27.8%
+159
+185
+150
+185
0
0		-1.24382-1.25716-1.28017
Cambuur
Twente		7.0%
81.3%		11.8%
+1373
-435
+1400
-500
0
4		-0.23542-0.23477-0.20741
Volendam
Heerenveen		11.8%
69.5%		18.7%
+526
-182
+440
-180
1
2		-0.46488-0.49088-0.36379
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		9.1%
75.6%		15.2%
+509
-170
+490
-175
1
0		-1.83866-1.82350-2.39174
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven		3.4%
88.5%		8.0%
+2400
-1011
+2350
-1100
0
4		-0.13231-0.13628-0.12189
Go Ahead Eagles
Vitesse		22.1%
54.5%		23.4%
+265
+118
+250
+115
0
2		-0.80327-0.81362-0.60633
Utrecht
Groningen		41.1%
31.5%		27.4%
+132
+218
+130
+205
2
1		-0.86764-0.88015-0.88982
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard		29.5%
43.9%		26.6%
+228
+125
+230
+115
1
3		-0.83769-0.81792-0.82266
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam		67.3%
13.8%		18.8%
-205
+660
-200
+575
3
1		-0.42681-0.45703-0.39546
Volendam
Utrecht		9.7%
74.0%		16.3%
+613
-226
+585
-240
0
0		-1.66627-1.65999-1.81622
Ajax
Go Ahead Eagles		80.1%
6.9%		13.0%
-210
+551
-260
+620
0
0		-1.65282-1.71630-2.04014
Vitesse
RKC Waalwijk		33.6%
39.2%		27.2%
+174
+166
+160
+170
0
1		-1.00458-1.04120-0.93537
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen		68.3%
13.4%		18.4%
-145
+400
-150
+385
4
2		-0.55021-0.55970-0.38193
Emmen
Cambuur		31.1%
44.7%		24.2%
+224
+134
+220
+125
2
1		-1.21123-1.21295-1.16883
Twente
Excelsior		59.6%
18.0%		22.5%
-207
+540
-210
+510
0
0		-1.61169-1.60869-1.49370
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.78764 
Sportsbooks30-0-0 (0.500)3 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.79824
-0.01060

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.