Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/26/2023 04:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk NEC Nijmegen	23.5% 51.0%	25.5%	+372 -137 +325 -135	0 3	-0.57572-0.60378	-0.67382
08/20/2023 02:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar RKC Waalwijk	59.1% 18.8%	22.1%	-155 +434 -165 +410	3 1	-0.52726-0.52379	-0.52662
08/20/2023 12:30 PM	Zwolle Twente	12.6% 69.4%	18.0%	+642 -234 +610 -250	1 3	-0.38063-0.38825	-0.36553
08/20/2023 12:30 PM	Feyenoord Sparta Rotterdam	59.8% 18.6%	21.6%	-145 +390 -150 +375	2 2	-1.46300-1.47333	-1.53438
08/20/2023 10:15 AM	Heerenveen Utrecht	23.7% 52.2%	24.1%	+320 -117 +320 -125	2 0	-1.47076-1.48709	-1.44062
08/19/2023 07:00 PM	Volendam Go Ahead Eagles	13.6% 66.6%	19.8%	+527 -203 +450 -190	1 4	-0.43351-0.47359	-0.40650
08/19/2023 06:00 PM	Almere City Fortuna Sittard	24.0% 51.4%	24.6%	+315 -111 +315 -125	1 2	-0.66939-0.63936	-0.66621
08/19/2023 04:45 PM	PSV Eindhoven Vitesse	61.8% 18.0%	20.2%	-151 +420 -150 +385	3 1	-0.53967-0.56256	-0.48143
08/19/2023 02:30 PM	Ajax Excelsior	86.7% 3.8%	9.4%	-315 +850 -400 +875	2 2	-1.85655-1.93975	-2.36106
08/18/2023 06:00 PM	NEC Nijmegen Heracles Almelo	22.5% 52.5%	25.0%	+181 +162 +170 +145	1 2	-0.97389-0.94727	-0.64392
08/13/2023 02:45 PM	Twente Almere City	55.3% 20.8%	23.9%	-158 +490 -160 +435	4 1	-0.51699-0.53649	-0.59229
08/13/2023 12:30 PM	Go Ahead Eagles AZ Alkmaar	9.5% 75.1%	15.4%	+575 -185 +570 -200	1 5	-0.45893-0.45541	-0.28696
08/13/2023 12:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Feyenoord	5.1% 85.0%	10.0%	+1451 -497 +1320 -540	0 0	-2.04477-2.04957	-2.30699
08/13/2023 10:15 AM	Excelsior NEC Nijmegen	16.5% 60.8%	22.7%	+630 -182 +475 -190	4 3	-1.98297-1.79927	-1.80133
08/12/2023 07:00 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle	29.4% 44.2%	26.4%	+166 +164 +160 +160	2 1	-1.00808-1.00518	-1.22261
08/12/2023 06:00 PM	Heracles Almelo Ajax	3.2% 88.7%	8.0%	+1018 -375 +900 -475	1 4	-0.25500-0.24315	-0.11991

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.