Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 27 days ago

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Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
08/12/2023 04:45 PM	RKC Waalwijk Heerenveen	19.6% 57.5%	22.9%	+444 -166 +435 -170	1 3	-0.50756-0.51316	-0.55292
08/12/2023 02:30 PM	Utrecht PSV Eindhoven	8.9% 77.2%	13.9%	+876 -303 +650 -300	0 2	-0.30198-0.34053	-0.25843
08/11/2023 06:00 PM	Vitesse Volendam	45.5% 28.1%	26.3%	-103 +281 -110 +280	2 1	-0.70700-0.69555	-0.78640
06/11/2023 12:30 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Twente	12.2% 69.9%	17.9%	+705 -241 +650 -260	0 1	-0.38114-0.37395	-0.35829
06/08/2023 06:00 PM	Twente Sparta Rotterdam	46.7% 27.5%	25.8%	-109 +315 -115 +320	1 1	-1.32242-1.33044	-1.35623
06/04/2023 04:00 PM	Utrecht Sparta Rotterdam	33.2% 39.7%	27.1%	+140 +202 +150 +180	4 5	-1.13981-1.07960	-0.92389
06/04/2023 12:30 PM	Heerenveen Twente	14.6% 65.7%	19.7%	+656 -255 +615 -260	0 4	-0.37005-0.37494	-0.42077
06/01/2023 07:00 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Utrecht	20.2% 57.2%	22.6%	+320 -105 +305 -115	2 1	-1.46352-1.44949	-1.60083
06/01/2023 04:45 PM	Twente Heerenveen	41.7% 31.5%	26.8%	-103 +285 -120 +320	2 1	-0.71311-0.65514	-0.87431
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	NEC Nijmegen Fortuna Sittard	34.9% 37.6%	27.6%	+154 +160 +150 +160	1 1	-1.44958-1.37176	-1.28822
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	PSV Eindhoven AZ Alkmaar	37.9% 36.1%	25.9%	+189 +143 +140 +170	2 1	-1.08868-0.92445	-0.96980
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Heerenveen	23.4% 52.2%	24.4%	+264 +105 +215 +110	0 2	-0.74389-0.79396	-0.65018
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	Vitesse Feyenoord	6.2% 82.3%	11.5%	+599 -257 +610 -280	1 0	-1.96568-2.01036	-2.77981
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	Emmen Utrecht	13.7% 68.0%	18.3%	+826 -328 +500 -210	2 3	-0.29437-0.44055	-0.38571
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	Excelsior Volendam	28.6% 43.3%	28.1%	+291 -125 +335 -150	2 3	-0.62269-0.55930	-0.83686
05/28/2023 12:30 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Groningen	31.7% 39.9%	28.3%	+122 +212 +115 +210	5 0	-0.83039-0.81507	-1.14775

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.