Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+310
-125

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3¼-104
u3¼-115

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-145
+400

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-115
u3¼-132

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+185
+144

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-118
u2¾-101

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-116
+310

2.24
1.24		3.48
o2¾-112
u2¾-106

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+800
-333

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3½-110
u3¾-134

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		11.0%
72.1%		16.9%
+493
-162
+480
-180
1
1		-1.48864-1.48704-1.77792
AZ Alkmaar
Twente		34.2%
39.0%		26.8%
+240
+125
+240
+120
1
2		-0.83573-0.83884-0.94197
PSV Eindhoven
Vitesse		66.0%
15.3%		18.7%
-186
+530
-190
+520
1
1		-1.55391-1.49736-1.67761
Cambuur
Excelsior		33.4%
40.6%		26.0%
+180
+148
+170
+155
1
4		-0.93843-0.98714-0.90157
Feyenoord
Ajax		15.5%
64.9%		19.6%
+320
-113
+350
-140
3
2		-1.45977-1.55523-1.86446
Heerenveen
Groningen		35.7%
35.3%		29.0%
+159
+188
+170
+175
2
0		-0.97790-1.04344-1.03136
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk		30.0%
42.3%		27.7%
+160
+183
+155
+180
3
1		-0.98054-0.98709-1.20277
Sparta Rotterdam
Emmen		37.3%
35.6%		27.1%
+181
+185
+165
+185
2
0		-1.06007-1.02413-0.98674
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		17.3%
61.6%		21.0%
+344
-123
+350
-130
2
1		-1.51891-1.55344-1.75262
Fortuna Sittard
Volendam		37.3%
35.1%		27.6%
+178
+151
+185
+135
1
2		-0.94827-0.90357-1.04717
Volendam
Feyenoord		2.9%
89.5%		7.6%
+2041
-721
+1800
-850
1
2		-0.15488-0.15995-0.11091
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven		3.4%
89.6%		6.9%
+1767
-679
+1700
-800
2
5		-0.17187-0.16737-0.10974
Ajax
Heerenveen		75.3%
9.2%		15.4%
-259
+751
-270
+700
4
2		-0.35550-0.36464-0.28319
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen		35.0%
37.0%		28.0%
+181
+161
+185
+150
2
2		-1.27722-1.25716-1.27150
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam		28.7%
45.4%		25.9%
+164
+186
+170
+170
1
3		-1.07570-1.04055-0.79047
Groningen
AZ Alkmaar		7.1%
79.2%		13.7%
+851
-271
+815
-300
0
1		-0.33169-0.33799-0.23322
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.78764 
Sportsbooks30-0-0 (0.500)3 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.79824
-0.01060

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.