Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 8, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam 		14.4%
66.3%		19.3%
+325
-134

0.89
2.17		3.06
o3-138
u3+118

Twente
Go Ahead Eagles 		45.6%
28.5%		25.8%
-149
+385

1.49
1.12		2.61
o3-114
u3-106

Telstar
Fortuna Sittard 		28.3%
44.6%		27.0%
+185
+144

1.04
1.38		2.42
o2¾-119
u2¾-101

Feyenoord
NAC Breda 		59.8%
20.4%		19.8%
-116
+310

2.24
1.24		3.48
o3+120
u3-140

Volendam
NEC Nijmegen 		7.0%
78.7%		14.3%
+800
-333

0.62
2.51		3.13
o3¼-125
u3¼+105

Games for Mar 7, 2026
Games for Mar 9, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		57.5%
20.5%		22.0%
-117
+352
-115
+300
3
0		-0.64375-0.67598-0.55311
Excelsior
Emmen		20.4%
56.4%		23.2%
+425
-144
+435
-155
0
2		-0.56438-0.54775-0.57314
Go Ahead Eagles
Cambuur		35.3%
38.9%		25.7%
+177
+175
+160
+175
1
4		-1.03888-1.06161-0.94348
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax		3.4%
87.9%		8.7%
+1413
-486
+1050
-480
0
1		-0.21033-0.24039-0.12899
PSV Eindhoven
RKC Waalwijk		72.9%
11.0%		16.1%
-221
+580
-230
+560
1
0		-0.40366-0.41225-0.31660
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior		44.3%
28.4%		27.2%
+100
+294
+105
+265
4
1		-0.72958-0.76819-0.81310
Heerenveen
Twente		15.6%
64.1%		20.3%
+563
-172
+470
-170
3
3		-1.43771-1.44940-1.59381
Groningen
Feyenoord		4.9%
84.2%		10.8%
+1591
-519
+1300
-550
0
1		-0.20329-0.21671-0.17163
Emmen
Volendam		35.6%
36.3%		28.1%
+200
+145
+185
+155
1
3		-0.92057-0.98556-1.01310
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse		52.1%
24.0%		23.8%
+135
+214
+125
+220
1
0		-0.89184-0.86074-0.65139
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht		12.6%
70.2%		17.2%
+456
-163
+430
-170
2
1		-1.74991-1.71730-2.07362
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		12.1%
71.2%		16.7%
+455
-157
+450
-160
1
3		-0.52721-0.53773-0.33969
Ajax
Vitesse		80.2%
7.0%		12.8%
-217
+592
-205
+505
2
1		-0.41446-0.44845-0.22038
Go Ahead Eagles
Emmen		27.1%
47.9%		24.9%
+207
+150
+200
+145
2
2		-1.20068-1.21574-1.38890
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard		75.0%
10.0%		15.0%
-249
+697
-240
+625
4
2		-0.36839-0.39914-0.28758
Volendam
NEC Nijmegen		11.8%
68.7%		19.4%
+661
-229
+550
-200
0
3		-0.40178-0.45463-0.37523
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.78764 
Sportsbooks30-0-0 (0.500)3 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.79824
-0.01060

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.