Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
RKC Waalwijk
Cambuur		35.0%
39.0%		25.9%
+123
+205
+100
+225
0
4		-1.13572-1.22895-0.94145
Ajax
Twente		61.1%
17.6%		21.2%
+114
+223
+105
+220
1
3		-1.19600-1.21224-1.73500
Groningen
Vitesse		19.0%
58.1%		22.9%
+614
-216
+600
-230
0
6		-0.40777-0.41228-0.54306
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven		6.7%
81.4%		12.0%
+1400
-494
+1075
-500
3
3		-2.07235-2.05948-2.12176
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior		29.4%
44.4%		26.2%
+286
-105
+275
-110
0
3		-0.69317-0.69563-0.81303
Utrecht
Ajax		4.4%
86.1%		9.5%
+848
-317
+735
-340
1
3		-0.29588-0.30659-0.14964
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen		54.9%
21.2%		23.8%
-132
+352
-135
+340
3
0		-0.58965-0.60475-0.59924
Feyenoord
Emmen		76.3%
9.2%		14.5%
-190
+499
-195
+460
3
1		-0.45243-0.46501-0.27052
Twente
RKC Waalwijk		52.8%
23.0%		24.2%
-129
+328
-125
+300
5
0		-0.60300-0.63605-0.63953
Volendam
Go Ahead Eagles		13.6%
66.6%		19.8%
+344
-129
+320
-130
0
3		-0.60701-0.62248-0.40650
Cambuur
Sparta Rotterdam		15.5%
65.8%		18.8%
+699
-246
+660
-255
1
4		-0.36425-0.37953-0.41905
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven		3.7%
88.5%		7.8%
+1959
-671
+1800
-1000
1
2		-0.15931-0.14660-0.12187
Emmen
AZ Alkmaar		6.1%
82.5%		11.5%
+867
-294
+775
-300
1
5		-0.31169-0.33930-0.19264
Go Ahead Eagles
Feyenoord		5.8%
82.8%		11.4%
+1227
-443
+1425
-650
0
3		-0.21961-0.19516-0.18930
Cambuur
Vitesse		13.8%
68.9%		17.3%
+1000
-335
+700
-290
0
2		-0.28153-0.34865-0.37275
RKC Waalwijk
Utrecht		16.4%
62.8%		20.7%
+433
-165
+385
-165
0
2		-0.49699-0.52596-0.46486
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.