Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		45.0%
28.7%		26.3%
+130
+185

1.44
1.09		2.53
o3+105
u3-125

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		12.1%
71.2%		16.7%
+455
-157
+450
-160
1
3		-0.52721-0.53773-0.33969
Ajax
Vitesse		80.2%
7.0%		12.8%
-217
+592
-205
+505
2
1		-0.41446-0.44845-0.22038
Go Ahead Eagles
Emmen		27.1%
47.9%		24.9%
+207
+150
+200
+145
2
2		-1.20068-1.21574-1.38890
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard		75.0%
10.0%		15.0%
-249
+697
-240
+625
4
2		-0.36839-0.39914-0.28758
Volendam
NEC Nijmegen		11.8%
68.7%		19.4%
+661
-229
+550
-200
0
3		-0.40178-0.45463-0.37523
Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar		6.4%
82.6%		11.0%
+1132
-356
+1000
-375
1
2		-0.26920-0.28506-0.19171
RKC Waalwijk
Heerenveen		18.6%
59.0%		22.4%
+278
+102
+265
+100
4
1		-1.36348-1.34519-1.68244
Excelsior
Groningen		16.9%
60.1%		23.0%
+375
-136
+330
-125
0
3		-0.58731-0.63779-0.50953
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam		34.6%
38.1%		27.3%
+154
+194
+165
+175
3
0		-0.97196-1.02666-1.06189
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior		43.1%
28.8%		28.1%
+122
+243
+115
+235
3
0		-0.82485-0.81362-0.84265
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax		3.4%
88.2%		8.4%
+1114
-393
+1140
-435
0
4		-0.25930-0.25687-0.12553
Twente
Go Ahead Eagles		54.0%
22.4%		23.6%
+121
+245
+115
+245
0
2		-1.26210-1.28630-1.49754
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		59.0%
19.8%		21.1%
+103
+285
+100
+250
2
2		-1.32272-1.37279-1.55433
Heerenveen
Cambuur		38.4%
35.8%		25.9%
+128
+244
+135
+215
2
1		-0.85074-0.90387-0.95810
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord		19.1%
59.4%		21.4%
+325
-113
+300
-115
1
2		-0.65587-0.67598-0.52019
Emmen
Groningen		24.6%
50.2%		25.1%
+211
+153
+200
+145
1
1		-1.19419-1.22670-1.38167
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.28675 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.23965
0.04710

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.