Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Excelsior
Heerenveen		13.5%
66.7%		19.9%
+487
-186
+490
-195
0
0		-1.56346-1.56418-1.61666
Sparta Rotterdam
Volendam		42.1%
30.2%		27.6%
+173
+157
+155
+160
1
2		-0.96924-1.00501-1.19584
NEC Nijmegen
Twente		11.9%
69.7%		18.4%
+612
-216
+540
-220
0
4		-0.39484-0.42546-0.36104
Vitesse
Fortuna Sittard		39.0%
34.8%		26.2%
+125
+230
+120
+220
0
2		-1.21885-1.21073-1.05501
Groningen
Go Ahead Eagles		20.2%
55.9%		23.9%
+459
-158
+410
-160
1
1		-1.46768-1.47421-1.43033
Feyenoord
Excelsior		77.7%
7.9%		14.4%
-427
+1011
-465
+975
2
0		-0.24520-0.24469-0.25284
Twente
Emmen		58.4%
19.6%		21.9%
-136
+392
-135
+355
3
0		-0.57551-0.60373-0.53784
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		9.6%
75.0%		15.4%
+370
-137
+380
-155
0
0		-1.47456-1.49709-1.87113
Utrecht
Cambuur		50.2%
26.5%		23.3%
-131
+346
-130
+325
3
0		-0.60013-0.61982-0.68925
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen		30.5%
41.7%		27.8%
+247
+115
+235
+110
3
2		-1.27254-1.26008-1.18633
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		68.1%
13.8%		18.1%
-178
+490
-195
+495
1
0		-0.47356-0.46401-0.38477
Volendam
RKC Waalwijk		17.4%
60.1%		22.5%
+250
+104
+245
-105
1
4		-0.73255-0.71980-0.50994
RKC Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar		7.3%
79.2%		13.5%
+764
-284
+665
-265
0
3		-0.32731-0.37164-0.23350
Utrecht
Feyenoord		7.6%
79.3%		13.1%
+779
-275
+745
-300
1
3		-0.33899-0.33822-0.23250
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		40.8%
33.5%		25.7%
+235
+115
+230
+105
0
3		-0.78594-0.76718-1.09309
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles		17.6%
61.7%		20.7%
+343
-120
+315
-120
0
2		-0.63529-0.65452-0.48344
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.