Utrecht at Excelsior

Updated

Utrecht

56.6%23.2%20.1%
Utrecht WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.78Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 1

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Utrecht
Money Line
T 1-1 vs PSV Eindhoven+655
T 0-0 at Vitesse+130
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-130
W 2-0 at Go Ahead Eagles+225
T 1-1 vs AZ Alkmaar+335
Excelsior
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Heerenveen+220
L 1-3 at PSV Eindhoven+3000
T 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+190
L 2-4 at Twente+950
T 2-2 at RKC Waalwijk+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+132+119+120+115+116+115+120+125.9
Excelsior+197+224+210+217+223+217+224+233.1
Draw+267+264+260+270+271+270+271+288.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Utrecht+120----+120+120+125.9
Excelsior+200----+205+205+233.1
Draw+280----+275+275+288.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Utrecht ML moved from +122 to +115
Excelsior ML moved from +217 to +208

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Utrecht: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Utrecht: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Utrecht: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Utrecht ML
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-138o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-107o2¾-108o2½-138o2¾+102
Underu2½+118u2½+118u2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-111u2¾-112u2¾-108u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.48%
Exactly 224.26%
Exactly 415.14%
Exactly 63.78%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.73%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.29%
Exactly 71.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Utrecht
Exactly 016.90%
Exactly 130.05%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 315.83%
Exactly 47.04%
Exactly 52.50%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 038.32%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.16%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Utrecht
Exactly 043.90%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 064.14%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Utrecht
Wins by 2+ goals32.03%
Wins by 3+ goals14.58%
Wins by 4+ goals5.45%
Wins by 5+ goals1.69%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals6.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Utrecht
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Utrecht
Wins by 1 goal24.55%
Wins by 2 goals17.45%
Wins by 3 goals9.14%
Wins by 4 goals3.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.26%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal13.24%
Wins by 2 goals5.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.52%6.48%
1.575.80%24.20%
2.551.54%48.46%
3.529.41%70.59%
4.514.26%85.74%
5.55.98%94.02%
6.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Utrecht Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.10%16.90%
1.553.06%46.94%
2.526.35%73.65%
3.510.52%89.48%
4.53.48%96.52%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.68%38.32%
1.524.92%75.08%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.84%28.16%
1.536.15%63.85%
2.513.54%86.46%
3.53.99%96.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score01234
0
6.48%
6.21%
2.98%
0.95%
0.23%
1
11.51%
11.04%
5.30%
1.69%
0.41%
2
10.24%
9.82%
4.71%
1.51%
0.36%
3
6.07%
5.82%
2.79%
0.89%
0.21%
4
2.70%
2.59%
1.24%
0.40%
0.10%
5
0.96%
0.92%
0.44%
0.14%
0.03%
Utrecht
1-011.51%
2-010.24%
2-19.82%
3-06.07%
3-15.82%
3-22.79%
4-02.70%
4-12.59%
4-21.24%
4-30.40%
5-00.96%
5-10.92%
5-20.44%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.48%
1-111.04%
2-24.71%
3-30.89%
Excelsior
0-16.21%
0-22.98%
1-25.30%
0-30.95%
1-31.69%
2-31.51%
0-40.23%
1-40.41%
2-40.36%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Utrecht
Excelsior
Score0123
0
28.16%
12.51%
2.78%
0.41%
1
23.18%
10.29%
2.29%
0.34%
2
9.54%
4.24%
0.94%
0.14%
3
2.62%
1.16%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.54%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
Utrecht
1-023.18%
2-09.54%
2-14.24%
3-02.62%
3-11.16%
3-20.26%
4-00.54%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-028.16%
1-110.29%
2-20.94%
Excelsior
0-112.51%
0-22.78%
1-22.29%
0-30.41%
1-30.34%
2-30.14%