Atlanta at Kansas City

Updated
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9
16.4%83.6%
WinKansas City Win
20.3Projected Points 33.9
14Final Score 17
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank26
P/G18.9
PA/G21.9
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0

Quarterbacks

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.214287.02211

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.314319.0365

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 31-27 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Matt Ryan+250
L 17-20 at Los Angeles ChargersATL: Matt Ryan • LAC: Justin Herbert+105
L 21-16 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Taysom Hill • ATL: Matt Ryan+130
W 6-43 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • ATL: Matt Ryan+170
L 9-24 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Matt Ryan • NO: Jameis Winston+170
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 32-29 at New Orleans SaintsKC: Patrick Mahomes • NO: Drew Brees-140
W 33-27 at Miami DolphinsKC: Patrick Mahomes • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-335
W 16-22 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Drew Lock • KC: Patrick Mahomes-810
W 27-24 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady-170
W 35-31 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Derek Carr-340

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WROlamide ZaccheausIR
  • DTMarlon DavidsonOut
  • SRicardo AllenProbable
  • WRBrandon PowellProbable
  • CAlex MackOut
  • GJames CarpenterOut
  • DEAustin EdwardsProbable
  • DBDarqueze DennardOut
  • WRJulio JonesOut

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • LBEmmanuel SmithProbable
  • LBDorian O'DanielOut
  • LBDamien WilsonOut
  • LBAnthony HitchensProbable
  • DEFrank ClarkProbable
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireOut
  • WRByron PringleIR
  • RBDarwin ThompsonProbable
  • WRTyreek HillProbable
  • TMike RemmersProbable
  • TERicky Seals-JonesProbable
W 9 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)52°52°48°46°
Humidity38%42%50%54%
Precipitation2%2%2%2%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyClear
WindW 9 mphSW 13 mphN 14 mphNW 16 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+575+415+455+425+445+455+455-
Kansas City-850-630-575-550-570-575-550-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+400+450+429+450+450+450+450-
Kansas City-484-600-525-600-650-600-525-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+12½-110+11-110+10½-103+12-123+11-109+10½-103+10½-103-
Kansas City-12½-110-11-110-10½-117-12+103-11-109-10½-117-12+103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+12½-110+11-110+11-115+11-110+11-110+11-110+11-110-
Kansas City-12½-110-11-110-11-105-11-110-11-110-11-110-11-105-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Atlanta: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +10½-105 to +11-115
Kansas City Spread moved from -11-105 to -10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +11-105 to +11-115
Kansas City Spread moved from -10-110 to -10½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-110o54-110o54-110o53½-110o54-109o54-110o53½-110-
Underu53½-110u54-110u54-110u53½-110u54-109u54-110u54-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-110o54½-110o54-110o54-110o54½-110o54-110o54-110-
Underu53½-110u54½-110u54-110u54-110u54½-110u54-110u54½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53½-109 to o54-109
The Under moved from u53-102 to u53½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o53½-110 to o54-110
The Under moved from u54-110 to u53½-110