Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
61.5%38.5%
Kansas City WinTampa Bay Win
28.4Projected Points 24.9
27Final Score 24
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank17
P/G21.2
PA/G19.2

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.910304.0272

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.711269.0259

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 35-31 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Derek Carr-340
W 31-33 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Teddy Bridgewater • KC: Patrick Mahomes-472
W 9-35 vs New York JetsNYJ: Sam Darnold • KC: Patrick Mahomes-2400
W 43-16 at Denver BroncosKC: Patrick Mahomes • DEN: Drew Lock-320
W 26-17 at Buffalo BillsKC: Patrick Mahomes • BUF: Josh Allen-240
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
L 27-24 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Jared Goff • TB: Tom Brady-200
W 46-23 at Carolina PanthersTB: Tom Brady • CAR: Teddy Bridgewater-260
L 38-3 vs New Orleans SaintsNO: Drew Brees • TB: Tom Brady-170
W 25-23 at New York GiantsTB: Tom Brady • NYG: Daniel Jones-670
W 45-20 at Las Vegas RaidersTB: Tom Brady • VEG: Derek Carr-194

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • TMitchell SchwartzIR
  • DETaco CharltonIR
  • CBBopete KeyesOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • RBT.J. LoganOut for Season
  • TDonovan SmithProbable
  • CBJamel DeanOut
  • TETanner HudsonOut
  • GAli MarpetProbable
  • OLA.Q. ShipleyOut
SSW 6 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°78°75°73°
Humidity54%58%65%71%
Precipitation0%0%1%2%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 6 mphSSW 7 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-155-170-170-185-180-170-170-
Tampa Bay+135+150+150+160+160+150+160-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-157-170-175-190-185-170-170-
Tampa Bay+138+150+155+170+155+150+170-

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3-110-3½-105-3-122-3½+100-3½+101-3-122-3½+101-
Tampa Bay+3-110+3½-115+3+102+3½-120+3½-119+3+102+3½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-3-110-3-110-3½+100-3½-110-3½+100-3½+100-3-110-
Tampa Bay+3-110+3-110+3½-120+3½-110+3½-120+3½-120+3½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3½-104 to -3½-110
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3½-109 to +3½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -3+100 to -3-120
Tampa Bay Spread moved from +3½-110 to +3-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53-110o56-110o56-110o56-110o56-109o56-110o56-109-
Underu53-110u56-110u56-110u56-110u56-109u56-110u56-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53-110o56½-110o56-110o55½-110o56½-110o56½-110o55½-110-
Underu53-110u56½-110u56-110u55½-110u56½-110u56½-110u56½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56-105 to o56-110
The Under moved from u56-105 to u56-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o56½-110 to o57-110
The Under moved from u56½-110 to u56-110