Kansas City at Denver

Updated
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
81.7%18.3%
Kansas City WinWin
27.6Projected Points 15.1
34Final Score 28
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank21
P/G21.0
PA/G24.3

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.712317.0308

Russell Wilson

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.111232.085

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 24-27 at Cincinnati BengalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CIN: Joe Burrow-135
W 10-26 vs Los Angeles RamsLAR: Bryce Perkins • KC: Patrick Mahomes-1300
W 30-27 at Los Angeles ChargersKC: Patrick Mahomes • LAC: Justin Herbert-220
W 17-27 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • KC: Patrick Mahomes-430
W 17-20 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Malik Willis • KC: Patrick Mahomes-825
Denver Broncos
Money Line
L 9-10 at Baltimore RavensDEN: Russell Wilson • BAL: Lamar Jackson+340
L 10-23 at Carolina PanthersDEN: Russell Wilson • CAR: Baker Mayfield-110
L 22-16 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • DEN: Russell Wilson-145
L 10-17 at Tennessee TitansDEN: Russell Wilson • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+120
W 21-17 vs Jacksonville JaguarsDEN: Russell Wilson • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+100

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRKadarius ToneyOut
  • WRMecole HardmanIR
  • GJoe ThuneyProbable
  • QBPatrick MahomesProbable
  • RBClyde Edwards-HelaireIR

Denver Broncos

Status
  • CBK'Waun WilliamsOut
  • WRKJ HamlerOut for Season
  • LBJonas GriffithOut
  • OLBilly TurnerIR
  • OLDalton RisnerOut
  • KBrandon McManusProbable
  • FBAndrew BeckOut
  • DLJonathan HarrisProbable
  • WRCourtland SuttonOut
  • RBChase EdmondsIR
  • WRJerry JeudyProbable
SSE 11 mph
Mile High Stadium, Denver, CO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)62°61°58°53°
Humidity9%10%12%18%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionFoggyClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSSE 11 mphSSE 9 mphSE 7 mphSE 6 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-255-435-450-410-400-410-400-340.0
Denver+215+345+335+330+325+330+345+340.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-400-450-370-420-450-420-370-340.0
Denver+320+350+312+340+360+350+360+340.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-6-110-8½-108-9-110-8½-110-9½+100-8½-110-9½+100-9½+109
Denver+6-110+8½-108+9-110+8½-110+9½-120+8½-110+9-110+9½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-9-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-9-110-9½+109
Denver+9-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+9-110+9½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -7½-110 to -8½-110
Denver Spread moved from +9½-108 to +8½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Denver: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 20.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 0.0%
Denver: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -7-110 to -7-120
Denver Spread moved from +10-110 to +9-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42½-110o44-108o44-110o44-111o44-110o44-111o44-108o44+100
Underu42½-110u44-108u44-110u44-109u44-110u44-109u44-108u44+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o43½-110o44-110o43½-110o44+100
Underu42-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u43½-110u44-110u44-110u44+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44-110 to o44½-110
The Under moved from u44½-110 to u44-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-110 to o44-110
The Under moved from u43-110 to u42½-110