Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank3
P/G30.9
PA/G20.8
67.5%32.5%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
23.7Projected Points 18.8
16Final Score 23
Rank32
P/G17.0
PA/G24.5
Rank3
P/G30.9
PA/G20.8
Rank32
P/G17.0
PA/G24.5

Quarterbacks

Joe Milton

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
75.90241.010

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.811190.01510

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 14-40 vs New York JetsNYJ: Aaron Rodgers • BUF: Josh Allen-500
W 21-24 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen-950
W 48-42 at Detroit LionsBUF: Josh Allen • DET: Jared Goff+125
L 42-44 at Los Angeles RamsBUF: Josh Allen • LAR: Matthew Stafford-185
W 10-35 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Brock Purdy • BUF: Josh Allen-300
New England Patriots
Money Line
L 40-7 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Drake Maye+264
L 21-24 at Buffalo BillsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen+875
L 17-30 at Arizona CardinalsNE: Drake Maye • ARI: Kyler Murray+250
L 25-24 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Anthony Richardson • NE: Drake Maye+120
L 15-34 at Miami DolphinsNE: Drake Maye • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+330

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBTerrel BernardOut
  • WRAmari CooperOut
  • WRCurtis SamuelProbable
  • LBBaylon SpectorProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • GBen BrownOut
  • TEHunter HenryOut
  • LBAnfernee JenningsProbable
  • LBSione TakitakiProbable
  • DBMarcus JonesIR
  • WRJa'Lynn PolkOut
  • CBChristian GonzalezOut
  • DTChristian BarmoreOut
  • DBJabrill PeppersOut
  • WRKayshon BoutteProbable
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
  • QBDrake MayeProbable
  • DETitus LeoProbable
WNW 14 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)33°33°33°32°
Humidity50%51%52%54%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWNW 14 mphWNW 14 mphWNW 13 mphWNW 13 mph
Alan Eck
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-120-165-170-175-170-175-165-162.3
New England+100+145+145+155+150+155+155+162.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-125-170-166-170-175-165-165-162.3
New England+105+150+147+150+155+145+155+162.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-5½-110-3-118-3-115-3-113-3-110-3-113-3-110-3-103
New England+5½-110+3+102+3-105+3-107+3-110+3-107+3+102+3+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-3½-110-3-110-3-110-3-110-3-120-3-108-3-108-3-103
New England+3½-110+3-110+3-110+3-110+3+100+3-108+3+100+3+103

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Buffalo: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3-120 to -3-125
New England Spread moved from +2½-105 to +2-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Buffalo: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 30.0%
New England: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -3-114 to -3-120
New England Spread moved from +3+100 to +2-115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o36½-108o36½-110o37-110o37-110o37-110o36½-108o37+100
Underu44-110u36½-108u36½-110u37-110u37-110u37-110u37-110u37+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-110o36½-110o37-110o36-110o36½-110o36½-110o36-110o37+100
Underu41½-110u36½-110u37-110u36-110u36½-110u36½-110u37-110u37+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o36½-116 to o37-110
The Under moved from u37-110 to u36½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o35½-110 to o36-110
The Under moved from u35-110 to u34½-110