Indianapolis at New England

Updated
Rank21
P/G23.8
PA/G24.4
33.5%66.5%
Indianapolis WinNew England Win
18.0Projected Points 22.4
3Final Score 26
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4
Rank21
P/G23.8
PA/G24.4
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4

Quarterbacks

Sam Ehlinger

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.91201.000

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.95199.037

Last 5 Games

Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
L 17-16 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Carson Wentz • IND: Sam Ehlinger-150
L 10-19 at Tennessee TitansIND: Matt Ryan • TEN: Ryan Tannehill+125
W 27-34 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • IND: Matt Ryan-120
W 12-9 at Denver BroncosIND: Matt Ryan • DEN: Russell Wilson+160
L 24-17 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • IND: Matt Ryan-190
New England Patriots
Money Line
W 22-17 at New York JetsNE: Mac Jones • NYJ: Zach Wilson-155
L 33-14 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • NE: Bailey Zappe-380
W 38-15 at Cleveland BrownsNE: Bailey Zappe • CLE: Jacoby Brissett+130
W 0-29 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • NE: Bailey Zappe-154
L 24-27 at Green Bay PackersNE: Brian Hoyer • GB: Aaron Rodgers+415

Injuries

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • WRAshton DulinOut for Season
  • CBStephon GilmoreProbable
  • DTTyquan LewisOut for Season
  • QBMatt RyanOut
  • TDennis KellyProbable
  • LBGrant StuardOut
  • CBTony BrownOut
  • RBJonathan TaylorOut
  • DEKwity PayeProbable
  • CRyan KellyProbable

New England Patriots

Status
  • OLMarcus CannonOut
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • WRDeVante ParkerOut
  • CDavid AndrewsOut
  • DBCody DavisOut for Season
  • DTChristian BarmoreOut
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable
SW 13 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)74°73°72°70°
Humidity73%74%77%80%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionOvercastOvercastOvercastOvercast
WindSW 13 mphSSW 12 mphSSW 12 mphSSW 11 mph
Clay Martin
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+220+185+190+185+180+185+190+192.5
New England-270-220-230-215-220-215-215-192.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+215+180+192+190+190+190+192+192.5
New England-255-210-220-220-220-220-210-192.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+5½-107+5-108+5-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-110+5-108+4½+100
New England-5½-113-5-108-5-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+6-110+5-110+5-110+5-110+5-110+4½-110+5-110+4½+100
New England-6-110-5-110-5-110-5-110-5-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Indianapolis: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Indianapolis: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Indianapolis: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Indianapolis Spread moved from +5½-108 to +5-108
New England Spread moved from -5-108 to -6-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Indianapolis: 0.0%
New England: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Indianapolis: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Indianapolis: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Indianapolis Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110
New England Spread moved from -5-110 to -6-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41-110o40-108o39½-110o39½-115o40-110o39½-115o39½-110o40+100
Underu41-110u40-108u39½-110u39½-105u40-110u39½-105u40-108u40+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40-110o40+100
Underu40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40-110u40+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-115 to o40½-110
The Under moved from u40-115 to u39½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o40-110 to o40½-110
The Under moved from u40½-110 to u40-110