New England at Cleveland

Updated
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4
44.2%55.8%
New England WinCleveland Win
20.0Projected Points 22.4
38Final Score 15
Rank23
P/G15.8
PA/G24.2
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4
Rank23
P/G15.8
PA/G24.2

Quarterbacks

Bailey Zappe

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.7099.010

Jacoby Brissett

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.62188.021

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 0-29 vs Detroit LionsDET: Jared Goff • NE: Bailey Zappe-154
L 24-27 at Green Bay PackersNE: Brian Hoyer • GB: Aaron Rodgers+415
L 37-26 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • NE: Mac Jones+130
W 17-14 at Pittsburgh SteelersNE: Mac Jones • PIT: Mitchell Trubisky-155
L 7-20 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa+150
Cleveland Browns
Money Line
L 30-28 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • CLE: Jacoby Brissett+105
L 20-23 at Atlanta FalconsCLE: Jacoby Brissett • ATL: Marcus Mariota-115
W 17-29 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Mitchell Trubisky • CLE: Jacoby Brissett-212
L 31-30 vs New York JetsNYJ: Joe Flacco • CLE: Jacoby Brissett-260
W 26-24 at Carolina PanthersCLE: Jacoby Brissett • CAR: Baker Mayfield+110

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • WRNelson AgholorOut
  • RBDamien HarrisOut
  • DBJonathan JonesOut
  • WRJakobi MeyersProbable
  • QBMac JonesDoubtful
  • QBBrian HoyerIR
  • DLLawrence GuyOut
  • TEJonnu SmithProbable
  • LBJosh UcheOut

Cleveland Browns

Status
  • DBDenzel WardOut
  • LBAnthony WalkerOut for Season
  • CBGreedy WilliamsProbable
  • DLMyles GarrettProbable
  • DEJadeveon ClowneyOut
  • TEJesse JamesIR
  • DLChase WinovichIR
  • OLJoel BitonioProbable
SW 8 mph
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)63°65°65°65°
Humidity39%38%40%43%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindSW 8 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 9 mphW 9 mph
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+155+125+125+127+160+127+160+133.2
Cleveland-180-145-145-147-185-147-145-133.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+150+130+129+130+125+125+130+133.2
Cleveland-170-150-147-150-145-145-145-133.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3½-108+2½+102+2½+100+2½-101+3½-114+2½-101+3½-114+2½+109
Cleveland-3½-108-2½-118-2½-120-2½-119-3½-104-2½-119-2½-118-2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+3-110+2½-110+2½+100+2½+100+2½-105+2½+100+2½+100+2½+109
Cleveland-3-110-2½-110-2½-120-2½-120-2½-115-2½-120-2½-110-2½-109

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
New England: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 30.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +2½+102 to +2½-108
Cleveland Spread moved from -3½+102 to -3½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 20.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 0.0%
Cleveland: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Cleveland Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo41½-108o43½-108o43½-110o43½-111o41½-109o43½-111o41½-109o43½+100
Underu41½-108u43½-108u43½-110u43½-109u41½-109u43½-109u43½-108u43½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo42-110o43-110o43-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43-110o43½+100
Underu42-110u43-110u43-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u43-107 to u43-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110