Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank26
P/G18.4
PA/G27.0
20.0%80.0%
Atlanta WinTampa Bay Win
20.8Projected Points 32.2
25Final Score 48
Rank3
P/G30.0
PA/G21.0
Rank26
P/G18.4
PA/G27.0
Rank3
P/G30.0
PA/G21.0

Quarterbacks

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
60.01164.000

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.01379.042

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 32-6 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • ATL: Matt Ryan-170
L 27-44 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersATL: Matt Ryan • TB: Tom Brady+277
L 14-17 at Kansas City ChiefsATL: Matt Ryan • KC: Patrick Mahomes+450
L 31-27 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Tom Brady • ATL: Matt Ryan+250
L 17-20 at Los Angeles ChargersATL: Matt Ryan • LAC: Justin Herbert+105
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 29-31 vs Dallas CowboysDAL: Dak Prescott • TB: Tom Brady-430
W 9-31 vs Kansas City ChiefsKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady+146
W 31-26 at Green Bay PackersTB: Tom Brady • GB: Aaron Rodgers+165
W 30-20 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Drew Brees+130
W 31-23 at Washington Football TeamTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Alex Smith-470

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • TERyan BeckerIR
  • WRFrank DarbyOut
  • DTDeadrin SenatIR
  • QBAJ McCarronIR
  • OLJosh AndrewsIR
  • TEJaeden GrahamIR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • CBCarlton DavisProbable
  • GJohn MolchonIR
  • SCurtis RileyIR
  • GSadarius HutchersonIR
  • TBrad SeatonIR
  • LSZach TrinerIR
  • CBSean Murphy-BuntingIR
  • CDonell StanleyIR
  • LBCam GillIR
  • SJordan WhiteheadProbable
N 5 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°82°82°81°
Humidity72%73%75%77%
Precipitation48%34%28%42%
ConditionRain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain and Humid
WindN 5 mphNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphNW 6 mph
Carl Cheffers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+530+550+500+580+600+580+600+594.5
Tampa Bay-710-750-750-800-800-800-750-594.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+550+600+580+550+550+550+600+594.5
Tampa Bay-800-900-745-800-800-800-745-594.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+13-110+13-115+13-110+13-102+13-104+13-102+13-102+13½-106
Tampa Bay-13-110-13-105-13-110-13-118-13-114-13-118-13-105-13½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+12½-110+13-110+12½-110+13-110+13-110+12½-110+13-110+13½-106
Tampa Bay-12½-110-13-110-12½-110-13-110-13-110-12½-110-12½-110-13½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 30.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 30.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +12½-110 to +13-120
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -13-112 to -13-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 30.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atlanta Spread
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineYouWagerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52-110o52-110o52½-110o51½-112o52-109o51½-112o51½-112o52-102
Underu52-110u52-110u52½-110u51½-108u52-109u51½-108u52½-110u52+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo52½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o51½-110o52-102
Underu52½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u51½-110u52+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51½-110 to o51½-112
The Under moved from u51½-110 to u52-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o51-110 to o51½-110
The Under moved from u51½-110 to u51-110