Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated
Rank3
P/G30.0
PA/G21.0
74.5%25.5%
Tampa Bay WinAtlanta Win
28.6Projected Points 21.1
30Final Score 17
Rank26
P/G18.4
PA/G27.0
Rank3
P/G30.0
PA/G21.0
Rank26
P/G18.4
PA/G27.0

Quarterbacks

Tom Brady

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.611309.0309

Matt Ryan

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.511238.01611

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 38-31 at Indianapolis ColtsTB: Tom Brady • IND: Carson Wentz-140
W 10-30 vs New York GiantsNYG: Daniel Jones • TB: Tom Brady-500
L 19-29 at Washington Football TeamTB: Tom Brady • WAS: Taylor Heinicke-430
L 27-36 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Tom Brady • NO: Jameis Winston-185
W 3-38 vs Chicago BearsCHI: Justin Fields • TB: Tom Brady-695
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 21-14 at Jacksonville JaguarsATL: Matt Ryan • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-120
L 25-0 vs New England PatriotsNE: Mac Jones • ATL: Matt Ryan+270
L 3-43 at Dallas CowboysATL: Matt Ryan • DAL: Dak Prescott+310
W 27-25 at New Orleans SaintsATL: Matt Ryan • NO: Trevor Siemian+260
L 19-13 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Sam Darnold • ATL: Matt Ryan-122

Injuries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • CBJamel DeanProbable
  • WRAntonio BrownOut
  • GAli MarpetProbable
  • SMike EdwardsOut
  • SJordan WhiteheadOut
  • GAaron StinnieIR
  • CBRichard ShermanIR
  • WRJaelon DardenOut

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • DLJonathan BullardOut
  • DBKendall SheffieldProbable
  • LBDeion JonesProbable
  • DESteven MeansIR
  • TEHayden HurstIR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Tony Corrente
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewStrong Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-475-535-545-500-540-500-500-408.6
Atlanta+380+420+390+395+430+395+430+408.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-450-525-515-550-550-550-515-408.6
Atlanta+370+415+423+425+425+425+425+408.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-9½-110-12-105-11-105-11-110-10½-109-11-110-11-105-11-100
Atlanta+9½-110+12-115+11-115+11-110+10½-109+11-110+12-115+11+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-10½-110-10½-110-10½-110-11-110-11-110-10½-110-10½-110-11-100
Atlanta+10½-110+10½-110+10½-110+11-110+11-110+10½-110+11-110+11+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -12+103 to -12-105
Atlanta Spread moved from +12½-120 to +12-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay Spread moved from -10-110 to -10½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from +11½-110 to +10½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o50½-110o51-110o51-115o51-109o51-115o50½-110o51+100
Underu50½-110u50½-110u51-110u51-105u51-109u51-105u51-105u51-100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50½-110o51-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o50½-110o51+100
Underu50½-110u51-110u50½-110u50½-110u50½-110u50½-110u51-110u51-100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50½-115 to o51-115
The Under moved from u51-111 to u51-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o50-110 to o51-110
The Under moved from u50½-110 to u50-110