Kansas City at New England

Updated
Rank1
P/G23.6
PA/G17.0
73.8%26.2%
Kansas City WinNew England Win
24.9Projected Points 17.4
27Final Score 17
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4
Rank1
P/G23.6
PA/G17.0
Rank31
P/G12.4
PA/G20.4

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.91310.42311

Bailey Zappe

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
55.4210.633

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
L 20-17 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes-122
L 19-27 at Green Bay PackersKC: Patrick Mahomes • GB: Jordan Love-250
W 31-17 at Las Vegas RaidersKC: Patrick Mahomes • VEG: Aidan O'Connell-440
L 21-17 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • KC: Patrick Mahomes-140
W 14-21 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • KC: Patrick Mahomes-103
New England Patriots
Money Line
W 21-18 at Pittsburgh SteelersNE: Bailey Zappe • PIT: Kenny Pickett+230
L 6-0 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • NE: Bailey Zappe+195
L 7-10 at New York GiantsNE: Mac Jones • NYG: Tommy DeVito-210
L 10-6 vs Indianapolis ColtsIND: Gardner Minshew II • NE: Mac Jones+110
L 20-17 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Sam Howell • NE: Mac Jones-145

Injuries

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • RBIsiah PachecoOut
  • -Donovan SmithOut
  • LBDrue TranquillProbable
  • DBJoshua WilliamsOut
  • SBryan CookProbable
  • WRMecole Hardman Jr.IR

New England Patriots

Status
  • WRKayshon BoutteProbable
  • DTChristian BarmoreProbable
  • RBRhamondre StevensonOut
  • WRDemario DouglasProbable
  • LBJa'Whaun BentleyProbable
  • WRTyquan ThorntonProbable
  • WRMatthew SlaterProbable
  • OLTrent BrownOut
  • OLRiley ReiffIR
  • WRDeVante ParkerProbable
  • WRJuJu Smith-SchusterOut
ESE 7 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)53°53°52°51°
Humidity74%76%79%83%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindESE 7 mphESE 7 mphESE 7 mphESE 6 mph
Shawn Hochuli
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-440-505-550-525-475-525-475-436.8
New England+330+380+390+420+375+420+420+436.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-420-475-500-550-550-550-475-436.8
New England+320+375+412+400+425+400+425+436.8

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-10-108-10-108-10½-105-10½-110-10-110-10½-110-10-108-10½+100
New England+10-108+10-108+10½-115+10½-110+10-110+10½-110+10½-110+10½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Kansas City-9½-110-10-110-10½-105-10-110-10-110-10-110-10-110-10½+100
New England+9½-110+10-110+10½-115+10-110+10-110+10-110+10½-115+10½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
New England: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 20.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -10-115 to -10½-110
New England Spread moved from +10-110 to +9½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Kansas City: 0.0%
New England: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Kansas City: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Kansas City: 10.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Kansas City Spread moved from -10-115 to -10-120
New England Spread moved from +10-110 to +9½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo37½-108o40-108o39½-110o39½-111o40-110o39½-111o39½-110o39½-101
Underu37½-108u40-108u39½-110u39½-109u40-110u39½-109u40-108u39½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo38-110o40-110o40-110o39½-110o39½-110o39½-110o39½-110o39½-101
Underu38-110u40-110u40-110u39½-110u39½-110u39½-110u40-110u39½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o39½-115
The Under moved from u39½-105 to u39½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o39½-110 to o40-110
The Under moved from u40-110 to u39½-110